Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
The straight corn ratio method gave
$4.87 for January of 1907, and $6.84 for January of 1908, departing from
the more complex ratio on the minus side by 19 cents in 1907 and on the
plus side by 15 cents in 1908. The results are so nearly alike that in
the case of hogs we think that it is ordinarily satisfactory to depend
on corn ratios alone, altho in the case of such products as milk and
butter it is well to include feeds other than corn and to use a method
similar to that just outlined.
In order to allow the general public to judge of the merits of wage
increases, strikes and price advances, it would be well if the ratio
method might be applied to manufacturing and mining industries; for
instance, in the case of coal, it might be shown (these figures are
purely illustrative and possibly are wide of the facts) that 40 per cent
of the cost of producing coal is labor, 20 per cent machinery charge,
and 40 per cent risk, interest on investment and similar factors, which
vary in just about the same ratio as the other two factors already
mentioned. Distributing this 40 per cent miscellaneous charge, we get 67
per cent of the cost of producing coal represented by labor and 33 per
cent by machinery charge. Now, assume that, in 1920 the labor charge has
advanced over the ten-year base by 90 per cent, and the machinery charge
by 110 per cent. Multiplying 67 by 190 and 33 by 210 and adding, we find
that on this basis coal in 1920 should be about 94 per cent above the
ten-year base. If the ten-year base is $3.50 per ton, the proper price
for coal in 1920 should evidently be somewhere around $6.80 per ton.
Of course, it is obvious that anyone applying the ratio method must be
thoroly familiar with the industry under consideration. There should be,
however, competent experts in whom the public has confidence, to express
for the benefit of the public, in ratio form, the cost-of-production
price of all staple products, and possibly labor as well.
Our grade schools and our high schools should train their students to
have an appreciation of the ratio method of determining prices. An
appreciation of this sort developed in the minds of the bulk of our
people would do much to stabilize the price system, preventing undue
excesses, and yet allowing prices which cover in a fair way cost of
production.
LIMITATIONS OF THE RATIO METHOD
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