Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
The ratio method, while astonishingly accurate as a method for
ascertaining production costs, is not infallible. In the case of hogs
and corn, for example, the ratio has remained constant, decade by
decade, for sixty years. It is always conceivable, however, that a
change in production methods will come which will enable farmers to
produce hogs for less than the 11.5-bushel ratio. It is also conceivable
that as population increases, there will be a smaller premium put on
meat and a greater premium put on grain, with the result that the
standard ratio will fall below eleven bushels. But in any event the
change will be slow, and in all probability the ratio of the fifty years
from 1925 to 1975 will not fall below 11 bushels.
In the case of such products as butter, where improvements in method
count for more than in the case of hogs, there is more likelihood of the
standard ratio changing as time goes on. In the case of such standard
crops as corn and wheat, there is small probability of great change in
the standard ratios. Any undue and prolonged profit will be promptly
absorbed by land values and labor wages.
About the only technological improvement which would throw the standard
ratios altogether out of line would be the discovery of how to make food
out of air and water by manufacturing processes.
The ratio method, when used in price fixing, rather than in price
judging, is open to several objections. Under a _laissez faire_ system
it may be necessary for months at a time to cater to the consumers by
selling food at below the ratio or cost-of-production price. And again
it is possible for months at a time to gouge the consumer by selling
food above the ratio or cost-of-production price. It is only as farmers,
consumers and business men become educated to the desirability of prices
more nearly approximating cost of production that the ratio system can
be used extensively in actual price fixing. When it is so used, there
will be less likelihood of over-production on the one hand and
under-production on the other hand.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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