Agricultural pricesWallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Science
Agricultural prices
Wallace, Henry A. (Henry Agard)
Agriculture -- Statistics; Farm produce; Prices
cheaper than the rest of the world.
Just what kind of a whistle do we want, and what price are we willing to
pay for it? Here is a problem which we commend to the earnest study of
the research department which the National Farm Bureau Federation may
some day possess.
CORN BELT LAND VALUES IN RELATION TO COST OF PRODUCING CORN
Rent or interest on the money invested in land is a legitimate item in
cost of production—so far as the individual farmer is concerned. But
society is likely to reach a time when it will assert the right to
object to paying a price for corn which will permit of paying a very
high rent, which in turn is used to support very high land values.
Society may say, in effect: Your high land values are just as vicious as
watered railway stock, and you have no more right to expect a five per
cent return on the inflated value than the railroads have to expect such
a return on their watered stock.
Society may be expected to pay a price for corn which is established by
competition between farmers in this country and in the Argentine, and by
the need of Europe for our pork products. This price doubtless will bear
much the same relation to the general price level as before the war. It
may be high enough to permit of corn belt land values as they existed in
1920, or even higher values. Or it may be low enough to compel a
reduction in corn belt values and farm-hand wages.
In the case of a severe drop in corn prices, it is conceivable but not
probable that corn belt farmers will organize sufficiently to compel the
return to a price high enough to maintain 1920 land values and farm-hand
wages.
It is believed that under conditions of free competition it will be
necessary for corn to sell for about 85 cents a bushel, on a basis of
December 1st farm valuations in the corn belt in the ordinary crop year,
in order to maintain land values as they existed in 1920. This means
that prices might go as low as 70 cents a bushel in years of big crops,
or as high as $1 in years of small crops. It is also assumed that labor
at harvest, without board, will settle down to about $4.25 a day, which
was the 1918 level. If labor at harvest, without board, continues at $5
a day, which was the 1919 level, it will be necessary for corn to sell
for about 88 cents a bushel, on a December 1st farm basis, in order to
maintain the 1920 level of land values and farm-hand wages.
It is recognized that this prediction may be wide of the mark in case
farmers are able to organize themselves for selfish purposes as
effectively as capital and union labor. For forty years preceding the
war, the farmer paid his regular monthly labor a sweated wage, and, in
effect, sold his own labor just as cheaply. During the war, the farmer
had a taste of a higher standard of living, and, having had this taste,
he will be loath to let farm product prices slip back to a point where
he will be reduced to his former state or even lower.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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