An Estimate of the True Value of Vaccination as a Security Against Small Pox — John Shaqi
An Estimate of the True Value of Vaccination as a Security Against Small PoxGreenhow, T. M. (Thomas Michael)
History
An Estimate of the True Value of Vaccination as a Security Against Small Pox
Greenhow, T. M. (Thomas Michael)
Smallpox -- Vaccination; Smallpox vaccine
If we refer to the tables (No. 1 and 2), we shall find that from the
years 1752 to 1798 inclusive (the period during which inoculation was
most extensively employed in this country), the average mortality from
Small Pox, during periods of five years each, was occasionally so high
as one in eight of the whole, and rarely less than one in ten. And that
during individual years, it three times (in 1752, 1781, and 1796)
amounted to nearly one in five; and in 1772 was little less than one in
six. This is surely a fearful encrease on Dr. Jurin’s calculation—“That
of all the children that are born, there will some time or other die of
Small Pox _one in fourteen_.” There can be no doubt, however, that this
immense encrease of mortality from Small Pox was owing to the extended
practice of inoculation; and until this could have been pursued more
generally, and with greater precautions, so as at once to diminish the
numbers capable of being infected by the inoculated, and the hazard of
the latter coming into contact with the unprotected, I am disposed to
think this fact was in itself sufficient ground for discontinuing
inoculation for Small Pox altogether. Could every child have been
subjected to the process of inoculation, before any exposure to the
infection of natural Small Pox had taken place, the case would have
been widely different: but it can scarcely be considered either just or
politic to render one individual secure at the risk of endangering
many, or with a certainty of destroying some. It may fairly be
concluded, then, that inoculation for Small Pox, as practised for the
last fifty years of the eighteenth century, although certainly _a great
individual good_, was, in reality, without a doubt, a _most serious
general evil_.
From what has been hitherto stated, I conceive, we are authorised in
assuming the following as facts, which will furnish a satisfactory
answer to the first of the questions proposed, What were the
destructive consequences of Small Pox previous to the introduction of
Vaccination?
1. Small Pox is a disease of so infectious a nature, that few
individuals passed through life without suffering from an attack of it.
2. It was attended with so much danger as to occasion the death of one
in five or six of those affected by it in the natural way; and previous
to the use of inoculation, one in fourteen of the whole number of
children born, at one time or other, died of the Small Pox.
3. Of those who recovered, many suffered materially from its effects,
not only in the disfigurement of countenance occasioned by it, but
frequently in the loss of one or both eyes, or in irreparable injury of
their constitutions.
4. After having been once affected by Small Pox, a very considerable
proportion of individuals resist entirely a second attack: but still in
very many instances a recurrence of the disease is proved to have taken
place.
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