Annals, Anecdotes and Legends: A Chronicle of Life AssuranceFrancis, John, of the Bank of England
History
Annals, Anecdotes and Legends: A Chronicle of Life Assurance
Francis, John, of the Bank of England
Life insurance
The first effort to show the value of annuities on lives from the
London Bills of Mortality is attributable to James Hodgson. Nor was
this endeavour uncalled for or unnecessary. Many assurance offices
had arisen, undertaking to grant these annuities; and the tables
principally in use were founded on the decrease of life at Breslau. But
by the Breslau Tables, half the people lived till they were about 41
years of age, while in London half did not reach the age of 10. This
was a vast difference in the estimate of mortality, and affected the
price of annuities in a proportionate degree. But if the Breslau Tables
calculated life at too high a rate, it was equally evident that the
London Tables made them too low; it is obvious, therefore, that the
value of a life annuity founded on any confined observations would be
unsuitable to the general annuitant; and it is evident that a scale of
prices should have been based on a more enlarged foundation.
The work of Mr. Hodgson deserves very great attention, and the notice
of the reader is called to its investigation, as the conclusions were
arrived at after great labour, and are a specimen of the time and
trouble bestowed on the subject. “The easy way of raising money for
public uses,” says Mr. Hodgson, “by granting annuities upon lives, has
met with so great encouragement that there is no room to doubt it will
be carried down to future times.” The following statements of this
gentleman will be read with surprise by those who are acquainted with
the chances of life as calculated at the present day. He estimated that
“1000_l._ would purchase an annuity of 70_l._ per annum for a life of
29 years 10 months, when money is valued at 3 per cent. per annum; that
the same sum will purchase the same annuity for a life of 23 years,
when money is valued at 4 per cent. per annum; and that the same sum
will purchase the same annuity for a life of 23 years, when money is
valued at 5 per cent. per annum; and that it will purchase the same
annuity for a life of 16 years 2 months, when money is valued at 6 per
cent.
“It appears that the highest value of a life is when the person is
about 6 years of age, and that from the birth to that time the value of
lives decrease, as they do from that time to the utmost extremity of
old age; that a life of 1 year old is nearly equal in value to a life
of 7 years old; that a life of 3 years old is nearly equal in value to
a life of 12 years old; that a life of 4 years old is nearly equal in
value to a life between 9 and 10 years; and that a life of 5 years is
nearly equal in value to a life of 7 years of age. And hence arose the
custom of putting the value of the lives of minors upon the same value
with those of a middling age, which at the best is but a bold guess,
and made use of for no better reason, than that they knew of no better
way to find the true value.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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