experience, or in our mental nature, constitute a
sufficient, or indeed any, reason for believing that
this is nowhere the case. The grounds, therefore, which
warrant us in rejecting such a supposition with respect
to any of the phenomena of which we have experience,
must be sought elsewhere than in any supposed necessity
of our intellectual faculties.
"As was observed in a former place, the belief we
entertain in the universality, throughout nature, of the
law of cause and effect, is itself an instance of
induction; and by no means one of the earliest which any
of us, or which mankind in general, can have made. We
arrive at this universal law by generalisation from many
laws of inferior generality. The generalising propensity
which, instinctive or not, is one of the most powerful
principles of our nature, does not indeed wait for the
period when such a generalisation becomes strictly
legitimate. The mere unreasoning propensity to expect
what has been often experienced, doubtless led men to
believe that every thing had a cause, before they could
have conclusive evidence of that truth. But even this
cannot be supposed to have happened until many cases of
causation, or, in other words, many partial uniformities
of sequence, had become familiar. The more obvious of
the particular uniformities suggest and prove the
general uniformity; and that general uniformity, once
established, enables us to prove the remainder of the
particular uniformities of which it is made up. * * *
"With respect to the general law of causation, it does
appear that there must have been a time when the
universal prevalence of that law throughout nature could
not have been affirmed in the same confident and
unqualified manner as at present. There was a time when
many of the phenomena of nature must have appeared
altogether capricious and irregular, not governed by any
laws, nor steadily consequent upon any causes. Such
phenomena, indeed, were commonly, in that early stage of
human knowledge, ascribed to the direct intervention of
the will of some supernatural being, and therefore still
to a cause. This shows the strong tendency of the human
mind to ascribe every phenomenon to some cause or other;
but it shows also that experience had not, at that time,
pointed out any regular order in the occurrence of those
particular phenomena, nor proved them to be, as we now
know that they are, dependent upon prior phenomena as
their proximate causes. There have been sects of
philosophers who have admitted what they termed Chance
as one of the agents in the order of nature by which
certain classes of events were entirely regulated; which
could only mean that those events did not occur in any
fixed order, or depend upon uniform laws of causation.
* * *
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