By way of saving the situation in some slight degree Japan sought from
China a guarantee that no portion of Manchuria should thereafter be
leased or ceded to a foreign state. But France warned Japan that to
press such a demand would offend Russia, and Russia declared that, for
her part, she had no intention of trespassing in Manchuria. Japan, had
she been in a position to insist on the guarantee, would also have been
in a position to disobey the mandate of the three powers. Unable to do
either the one or the other, she quietly stepped out of Manchuria, and
proceeded to double her army and treble her navy.
As a reward for the assistance nominally rendered to China in this
matter, Russia obtained permission in Peking to divert her Trans-Asian
railway from the huge bend of the Amur to the straight line through
Manchuria. Neither Germany nor France received any immediate recompense.
Three years later, by way of indemnity for the murder of two
missionaries by a mob, Germany seized a portion of the province of
Shantung. Immediately, on the principle that two wrongs make a right,
Russia obtained a lease of the Liaotung peninsula, from which she had
driven Japan in 1895. This act she followed by extorting from China
permission to construct a branch of the Trans-Asian railway through
Manchuria from north to south.
Russia's maritime aspirations had now assumed a radically altered phase.
Instead of pushing southward from Vladivostok and Possiet Bay along the
coast of Korea, she had suddenly leaped the Korean peninsula and found
access to the Pacific in Liaotung. Nothing was wanting to establish her
as practical mistress of Manchuria except a plausible excuse for
garrisoning the place. Such an excuse was furnished by the Boxer rising
in 1900. Its conclusion saw her in military occupation of the whole
region, and she might easily have made her occupation permanent by
prolonging it until peace and order should have been fully restored. But
here she fell into an error of judgment. Imagining that the Chinese
could be persuaded or intimidated to any concession, she proposed a
convention virtually recognizing her title to Manchuria.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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