Japan watched all these things with profound anxiety. If there were any
reality in the dangers which Russia, Germany and France had declared to
be incidental to Japanese occupation of a part of Manchuria, the same
dangers must be doubly incidental to Russian occupation of the whole of
Manchuria--the security of the Chinese capital would be threatened, and
an obstacle would be created to the permanent peace of the East. The
independence of Korea was an object of supreme solicitude to Japan.
Historically she held towards the little state a relation closely
resembling that of suzerain, and though of her ancient conquests nothing
remained except a settlement at Fusan on the southern coast, her
national sentiment would have been deeply wounded by any foreign
aggression in the peninsula. It was to establish Korean independence
that she waged war with China in 1894; and her annexation of the
Manchurian littoral adjacent to the Korean frontier, after the war, was
designed to secure that independence, not to menace it as the triple
alliance professed to think. But if Russia came into possession of all
Manchuria, her subsequent absorption of Korea would be almost
inevitable. For the consideration set forth above as to Vladivostok's
maritime avenues would then acquire absolute cogency. Manchuria is
larger than France and the United Kingdom lumped together. The addition
of such an immense area to Russia's east Asiatic dominions, together
with its littoral on the Gulf of Pechili and the Yellow Sea, would
necessitate a corresponding expansion of her naval forces in the Far
East. With the one exception of Port Arthur, however, the Manchurian
coast does not offer any convenient naval base. It is only in the
splendid harbours of southern Korea that such bases can be found.
Moreover, there would be an even stronger motive impelling Russia
towards Korea. Neither the Usuri region nor the Manchurian littoral
possesses so much as one port qualified to satisfy her perennial longing
for free access to the ocean in a temperate zone. Without Korea, then,
Russia's east Asian expansion, though it added huge blocks of territory
to her dominions, would have been commercially incomplete and
strategically defective.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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