I do not attempt to appraise the strength of the combined six influences
just described. If each added one-sixth to the produce the number of
offspring would be doubled. This does not seem impossible considering
the large families of colonists, and of those in many rural districts;
but it is a high estimate. Perhaps the fairest approximation may be that
these influences would cause the X women to bring into the world an
average of one adult son and one adult daughter _in addition_ to what
they would otherwise have produced. The table of descent applies to one
son or to one daughter per couple; it may now be read as specifying the
net gain and showing its distribution. Should this estimate be thought
too high, the results may be diminished accordingly.
It is no absurd idea that outside influences should hasten the age of
marrying and make it customary for the best to marry the best. A
superficial objection is sure to be urged that the fancies of young
people are so incalculable and so irresistible that they cannot be
guided. No doubt they are so in some exceptional cases. I lately heard
from a lady who belonged to a county family of position that a great
aunt of hers had scandalised her own domestic circle two generations ago
by falling in love with the undertaker at her father’s funeral and
insisting on marrying him. Strange vagaries occur, but considerations of
social position and of fortune, with frequent opportunities of
intercourse, tell much more in the long run than sudden fancies that
want roots. In a community deeply impressed with the desire of
encouraging marriages between persons of equally high ability, the
social pressure directed to produce the desired end would be so great as
to ensure a notable amount of success.
* * * * *
_Profit and Loss._—The problem to be solved now assumes a clear shape. A
child of the X class (whatever X signifies) would have been worth so and
so at its birth, and one of each of the other grades respectively would
have been worth so and so; 100 X parentages can be made to produce a net
gain of 100 adult sons and 100 adult daughters who will be distributed
among the classes according to the standard table of descent. The total
value of the prospective produce of the 100 parentages can then be
estimated by an actuary, and consequently the sum that it is legitimate
to spend in favouring an X parentage. The clear and distinct statement
of a problem is often more than half way towards its solution. There
seems no reason why this one should not be solved between limiting
values that are not too wide apart to be useful.
* * * * *
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