Essays on Mankind and Political Arithmetic — John Shaqi
Essays on Mankind and Political ArithmeticPetty, William, Sir
History
Essays on Mankind and Political Arithmetic
Petty, William, Sir
London (England) -- Population; Population
But whereas the yearly births of the kingdom are 190,000 souls.
about 1 in 28.95, or
And the yearly burials 1 in 32.35 or 170,000 souls.
Whereby the yearly increase would be 20,000 souls.
It is to be noted— Per ann.
1. That the allowance for 4,000
plagues and great mortalities
may come to at a medium
2. Foreign or civil wars at a 3,500
medium
3. The sea constantly employing 2,500
about 40,000, may precipitate
the death of about
4. The plantations (over and 1,000
above the accession of
foreigners) may carry away
11,000 per
annum.
Whereby the net annual increase may be but 9,000 souls.
That of these 20,000 souls, which would be the annual increase of the
kingdom by procreation, were it not for the before-mentioned abatements.
The country increases annually by procreation 20,000 souls.
The cities and towns, exclusive of London, by 2,000 souls.
procreation
But London and the bills of mortality decrease 2,000 souls.
annually
So that London requires a supply of 2,000 souls per annum to keep it from
decreasing, besides a further supply of about 3,000 per annum for its
increase at this time. In all 5,000, or above a half of the kingdom’s
net increase.
Mr. King further observes that by the assessments on marriages, births,
and burials, and the collectors’ returns thereupon, and by the parish
registers, it appears that the proportions of marriages, births, and
burials are according to the following scheme
_Vide_ Scheme A.
Whence it may be observed that in 10,000 coexisting persons there are 71
or 72 marriages in the country, producing 343 children; 78 marriages in
towns producing 351 children; 94 marriages in London, producing 376
children.
Whereby it follows—
1. That though each marriage in London produces fewer people than in the
country, yet London in general having a greater proportion of breeders,
is more prolific than the other great towns, and the great towns are more
prolific than the country.
2. That if the people of London of all ages were as long-lived as those
in the country, London would increase in people much faster _pro rata_
than the country.
3. That the reasons why each marriage in London produces fewer children
than the country marriages seem to be—
(1) From the more frequent fornications and adulteries.
(2) From a greater luxury and intemperance.
(3) From a greater intentness on business.
(4) From the unhealthfulness of the coal smoke.
(5) From a greater inequality of age between the husbands and wives.
(6) From the husbands and wives not living so long as in the country.
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