Beyond these few observations it is difficult—if not impossible—to
trespass with any certainty, although, as a closing remark, it may
perhaps be added that, provided the investment of Port Arthur be
satisfactorily accomplished by sea and that Vladivostock were enclosed
by ice, the estuaries of the Yalu and Lico Rivers enables an admirable
position to be taken up, from which the Russian position throughout
Manchuria may be very readily threatened. Speculations as to the
development of the campaign upon land are, however, quite absurd until
something is known of the results of the naval engagements with which the
war must open. Meanwhile the painful familiarity with the costs of war
which distinguishes the British taxpayer has directed no little attention
to the financial position of either country. An eminent German financier,
interested in the public debt of Russia, lately explained to me that
a very large proportion of the moneys, which have been raised for the
construction of the Russian inter-railway communications in addition to
the Trans-Siberian and Manchurian Railways, has been set aside from time
to time to supplement her war chest. These sums, added to those collected
by Count Mouravieff with the assent of M. de Witte, and including the
large balances which have accrued to the State by departmental economies
during the past year, represent approximately a capital of one hundred
millions sterling. Against this accumulation it is said that the
financial position of Japan is most favourable. There is, I believe, a
specie reserve in the Central Bank which amounts to 113,000,000 yen, plus
some 40,000,000 yen in London. Moreover, the bank’s note-issuing margin
is 35,000,000 yen, which will be larger after the New Year. The Treasury
has three capital funds, amounting together to 50,000,000 yen, besides
some millions in London remaining from the bond sale of 1902. Finally,
there are large sums lying idle in all the banks throughout the country,
while an Ordinance has been issued which provides the Government with
unlimited credit.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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