Meteorology: The Science of the AtmosphereTalman, Charles Fitzhugh
Science
Meteorology: The Science of the Atmosphere
Talman, Charles Fitzhugh
Meteorology
There is much virtue in a name. A few years ago the United States
Bureau of Fisheries persuaded the American public to eat dogfish
by changing its name to “grayfish.” Similarly, FitzRoy induced the
British public to take his weather predictions seriously by calling
them “forecasts.” The name has stuck; and nowadays, throughout the
English-speaking world, the expression “weather forecast”--except
as applied comprehensively to predictions of the “long-range”
variety--means something decidedly less chimerical than the average
weather prophecy.
[Illustration: THE SUN DRAWING WATER
(_Photograph by P. K. Budlong._)]
It is still necessary, however, to emphasize the distinction. There
are probably many people among us, well above the illiterate level,
who have no clear idea as to what constitutes a scientific weather
forecast. The distinguishing feature of such a prediction, apart from
the fact that it is made by a trained meteorologist, is that it is, in
all cases, based upon a weather map.
The forecasting machine is a big one, with its human gear spread over
a wide territory. Eventually it will be spread over the entire globe,
and then we shall have better forecasts. A little manual entitled “The
Weather Map,” published by the British Meteorological Office, says:
“The making of a single forecast in any one of the meteorological
offices of Europe, America, Australia, or the Far East requires the
organized cooperation of some hundreds of persons; about a hundred
observers who note the necessary observations simultaneously at as
many separate places and hand in their reports to the telegraphists
who transmit them to one center, where the meteorological expert
charts them on a map and draws therefrom the conclusions on which the
forecasts are based. The preparation of the map is an essential part of
the process. No meteorologist in the modern sense attempts to forecast
the weather without reference to a map prepared either by himself or
by some one with whom he is in direct communication, from observations
transmitted by telegraph for the purpose. No amount of weather wisdom
or weather lore or experience is a substitute for the map. The more
expert and accomplished the meteorologist, the more certain he is that
all he can do without the materials for constructing a map, though
he may have a barometer and other instruments at hand, is to make a
guess at what the map is like and think out from that what the weather
changes are likely to be. It is a common experience of professional
meteorologists away from their base to find themselves appealed to for
an opinion about the weather, judging from the signs of the sky alone,
because they are learned in such things. That is exactly what they are
not. Accustomed to refer everything to a map, without one they feel
themselves to be rather worse off than those who are unaccustomed to
its use. A modern meteorologist thinks in maps; his language and modes
of expression are formed thereby.”
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Elsewhere in the archive
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account