To what extent such a conclusion is valid, that is to say, to what
extent the experience produces the anticipated concept, obviously
depends upon the reply to a very definite fundamental question. If in
experience the union of the two parts of the concept occurs
_invariably_, so that one part of the concept is never experienced
unless the other part is also experienced, then there is the _greatest_
probability that the expected experience will also have the same
character, and that the conclusion will prove valid or true. To be sure,
there is no way of making certain that the coincident occurrence of the
two concepts, which experience has shown to be _without exception_
hitherto, will continue to be so also in the future. For our only means
of penetrating into the future consists in applying that conclusion from
previous experiences to future experiences, and it can therefore by no
means claim absolute validity. There are, however, different _degrees of
certainty_, or, rather, _probability_, attaching to such a conclusion.
In experiences that occur but rarely the probability is that so far we
have experienced only certain combinations of simple concepts, while
others, though occurring, have not yet entered within the limited circle
of our experience. In such a case a conclusion of the kind mentioned
above may be right, but there is also some probability of its being
false. On the other hand, in experiences which happen extremely
frequently and in the most diverse circumstances, and in which we always
find the constant and unexceptional combination, the probability is very
strong that we shall find the combination in future experiences also,
and the probability of the conclusion approaches practical certainty. Of
course, we can never quite exclude the possibility that new relations
never as yet experienced might enter, by which the conclusion which
hitherto has always been true would now become false, whether because
the expectation entertained prove invalid in single instances or in all
cases.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account