It follows from this that in general, our conclusions will have the
greater probability the more generally and the oftener the corresponding
experiences have occurred and are occurring. Such concepts as are found
consistently in many experiences otherwise different are called
_general_ concepts, and therefore the probability of the conclusions
described will be the greater the more _general_ the concepts to which
they refer. This obtains to such a degree that we feel that certain very
general conclusions must be true always and without exception, and it is
"unthinkable" to us that they can ever in any circumstances prove not
valid. Such a statement, however, is never anything else than a hidden
appeal to experience. For the mere putting of the question, whether the
conclusion can also be false, demonstrates that the opposite of what has
proved to be the experience so far can be conceived, and the assertion
of its "unthinkability" only signifies that such an experience cannot be
evoked in the mind by the _memory_ for the very reason that, as has been
premised, there are no such memories because the experiences did not
exist. But since, on the other hand, there is no hindrance to thinking
any combinations of concepts at will, we have not the least difficulty,
as everybody knows, in thinking any sort of "nonsense" whatsoever. Only
it is impossible to reproduce such combinations from memory.
The scientific conclusion, therefore, first takes the form: if A is,
then B is also. Here A and B represent the two simple concepts which are
known from experience to be found together in the more complex concept
C. The word "is" signifies here some empirical reality corresponding to
the concepts. The conclusion may therefore also be expressed, somewhat
more circumstantially and more precisely, in this form: if A is
experienced, the experience of B is also expected. The evoking of this
expectation, which implies its justification, is due to the recollection
of the coincidence of the two concepts in former experiences, and the
probability depends, in the manner described above, upon the number of
valid cases. Here it must be observed that even individual cases in
which our expectations have been deceived do not for the most part lead
us to regard the conclusion as generally untrue, that is, to abandon the
expectation of B from A. For we know that our experience is always
_incomplete_, that in certain circumstances we fail to notice existing
factors, and that, therefore, our failure to find that relation valid
which, on other occasions, has been found to be valid, may be attributed
to subjective causes. In case, however, of the repeated occurrence of
such disappointments, we will look elsewhere for relations between these
and other elements of experience, in order that thereafter we may
foresee such cases also and include them in our anticipations.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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