NetWorld! What People Are Really Doing on the Internet and What It Means to YouRothman, David H.
General
NetWorld! What People Are Really Doing on the Internet and What It Means to You
Rothman, David H.
Internet
Among the wares talked up online were upbeat prognostications about the
Net itself. For $3,500 you could buy a report from a California
consulting firm that said annual commerce on the Net and commercials
services such as CompuServe would reach $600 billion by the turn of the
century. I was skeptical. Merchants like JoAnn Lilienfeld would have to
sell warehouse after warehouse of stuffed animals or toys or whatever
the offerings were. In fact, $600 billion was a good 8 percent of
international commerce. On reflection, however, the estimate from Killen
& Associates seemed possible. Through the Net you might find a buyer for
shipload of scrap iron or an office building, not just a stray teddy
bear in need of a child. I phoned Mary Cronin of Boston College, who had
written a well-regarded book called _Doing Business on the Internet_. It
teemed with examples from Digital Equipment Corporation and IBM and many
other computer-oriented firms. And she had researched it before most
business people grasped the importance of the Internet. Yes, she said,
the $600 billion figure sounded credible if you counted
business-to-business transactions.
Daniel Dern, an Internet consultant, had his own opinion on the
statistics. He said the Net was like the highway. Just what did you
count—all the goods that went over the road? The combined salaries of
the people on the way to work? I could see his point.
Whatever the exact numbers, the demographics and technology might be on
the side of the many retail businesses if they stuck it out on the Net
and kept expectations realistic. Scads of people in Generation Net were
about to marry. They would buy houses and cars and whatever else
mattered beyond stereos and Internet-optimized computers. Just in the
late summer and fall of 1994, the number of Net-related businesses on
the Web had doubled, and a good many of the newcomers were not
technical. Could the Net really, then, enrich business people without
technical backgrounds? Was there indeed money in what had once been the
province of cash-strapped college students and dreamy researchers?
Plenty of people thought that the answer lay in the case history of
Grant’s Flowers, which, like White Rabbit Toys, operated out of Ann
Arbor, Michigan. Larry Grant had been a cover boy in an enticing article
on the front page of the business section of the _New York Times_; the
Internet pulsed with chatter about the electronic coups that he
supposedly had achieved for just $28 a month. Excited Netfolks reported
that he did not even have to type to his customers on the Internet; new
orders just poured in on a fax machine with a Net connection. The
California gold rush was almost a century and a half old. And yet,
watching the Grant legend take off, I might as well have been among the
boots and beards at Sutter’s Mill.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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