We see, therefore, that in Wars where one side cannot completely disarm
the other, the motives to peace on both sides will rise or fall on each
side according to the probability of future success and the required
outlay. If these motives were equally strong on both sides, they would
meet in the centre of their political difference. Where they are strong
on one side, they might be weak on the other. If their amount is only
sufficient, peace will follow, but naturally to the advantage of that
side which has the weakest motive for its conclusion. We purposely pass
over here the difference which the _positive_ and _negative_ character
of the political end must necessarily produce practically; for although
that is, as we shall hereafter show, of the highest importance, still
we are obliged to keep here to a more general point of view, because
the original political views in the course of the War change very much,
and at last may become totally different, _just because they are
determined by results and probable events_.
Now comes the question how to influence the probability of success. In
the first place, naturally by the same means which we use when the
object is the subjugation of the enemy, by the destruction of his
military force and the conquest of his provinces; but these two means
are not exactly of the same import here as they would be in reference
to that object. If we attack the enemy’s Army, it is a very different
thing whether we intend to follow up the first blow with a succession
of others, until the whole force is destroyed, or whether we mean to
content ourselves with a victory to shake the enemy’s feeling of
security, to convince him of our superiority, and to instil into him a
feeling of apprehension about the future. If this is our object, we
only go so far in the destruction of his forces as is sufficient. In
like manner, the conquest, of the enemy’s provinces is quite a
different measure if the object is not the destruction of the enemy’s
Army. In the latter case the destruction of the Army is the real
effectual action, and the taking of the provinces only a consequence of
it; to take them before the Army had been defeated would always be
looked upon only as a necessary evil. On the other hand, if our views
are not directed upon the complete destruction of the enemy’s force,
and if we are sure that the enemy does not seek but fears to bring
matters to a bloody decision, the taking possession of a weak or
defenceless province is an advantage in itself, and if this advantage
is of sufficient importance to make the enemy apprehensive about the
general result, then it may also be regarded as a shorter road to
peace.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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