Paris : $b or, the future of warLiddell Hart, Basil Henry, Sir
Science
Paris : $b or, the future of war
Liddell Hart, Basil Henry, Sir
Military art and science; War
In view of the transcendent value of aircraft as a means of subduing
the enemy will to resist, by striking at the moral objective, the
question may well be asked: Is the air the sole medium of future
warfare? That this will be the case ultimately we have no doubt, for
the advantages of a weapon able to move in three dimensions over
those tied to one plane of movement are surely obvious to all but the
mentally blind. But we are dealing with the immediate future, and an
uncertain period may elapse before aircraft can combine with their
superior power of movement the radius of action, reliability and
hitting power of the other weapons. In pointing out the decisiveness
of an air blow at the enemy nation’s nerve system, we pre-supposed
two conditions; first, a superior air force; second, a centralized
objective such as a highly-developed industrial state offers. The
European nations and Japan afford such a target to air attack, but not
so a country as vast as the United States; until the latter develops
into a more closely-knit fabric, and the radius of air action is
greatly increased, an air attack against it could hardly be decisive,
however locally unpleasant. Washington laid in ruins would merely
provide “Main Street” with a fresh supply of small talk; New York
paralysed would leave the Middle West unmoved, even the desolation of
the Pacific coast would but inconvenience the “movie fans” of the
nation.
Moreover, though, in Europe, an air blow would be decisive, its
achievement would probably depend on one side being superior in the
air, either in numbers of aircraft or by the possession of some
surprise device. Where air equality existed between the rival nations,
and each was as industrially and politically vulnerable, it is possible
that either would hesitate to employ the air attack for fear of instant
retaliation.
A boxer with a punch in either fist enjoys both a moral and a physical
advantage, and the same is true of a nation that, if its initial
air blow is frustrated or is lacking in the necessary margin of
superiority, can bring another weapon into play.
This truth is but the translation into future grand strategy of the
immemorial key to victory used by the Great Captains of War――_striking
at the enemy from two directions simultaneously_, so that in trying to
parry the one blow he exposes himself to the other.
Nevertheless, the continuance of an alternative weapon to the
aeroplane does not mean that armies, at least, will survive in their
present form. An existing pattern army has as much “punch” as a stuffed
bolster――size is no criterion of hitting power.
If, however, the sea and land weapons are likely to continue until
the air weapon reaches maturity, a study of the future of war
would be incomplete without a discussion of their tendencies and
development――and of the ways by which they may help to gain the moral
objective.
THE NAVAL WEAPON
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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