Proceedings of the California Academy of Sciences, Volume III, 1863-1867Various
Science
Proceedings of the California Academy of Sciences, Volume III, 1863-1867
Various
California Academy of Sciences -- Periodicals; Science -- Periodicals
Here the question arises, how far are these figures to be
relied on as accurate? This can only be decided by comparison
with returns known to be approximately accurate, and of these
we have none later than the year 1856, in which year the make
of pig iron was ascertained, by the Iron-Makers’ Association,
to be 812,917 tuns. Either the Census returns of 1860 are too
low, as they were in 1850, or else the increase in this branch
of our industry has been very slight since 1849, when the make
of iron was ascertained by the Pennsylvania Iron-Masters to be
800,000 tuns. On the other hand, assuming the Census returns
of 1860 to be correct, there is no ground for making the
statement, as is done by Mr. Kennedy, that there has been an
increase of 44·4 per cent. in the value of the iron produced
in 1860 over that of 1850; it is evident that the increase
has been very slight, since 1846 or 1847 even, in which years
the make of this metal, on reliable authority, reached nearly
800,000 tuns.
But what shall we say of Mr. Kennedy’s method of arriving at
the production of iron, as related to the amount of population
in the United States, or the number of pounds produced per
head? To obtain this, he adds together the amount of pig iron
and the amount of bar and other wrought iron produced, and
thus obtains a result of 92 pounds of iron produced for each
inhabitant of the United States; which, as he says, “speaks
volumes for the progress of the nation in all its industrial
and material interests.” It speaks a volume or two for his own
ignorance of the elements of metallurgy; since, as everybody,
except the Superintendent of the United States Census, knows,
the bar and rolled iron is nearly all converted from the pig,
and only a small proportion made direct from the ore; so that
his method of computation is as near correct as it would
be, for instance, to estimate the amount of beef consumed
per head in San Francisco, by adding the weight of all the
cattle slaughtered in the city to that of the beef produced by
said slaughtering. As, in 1856, only 28,433 tuns of bar iron
were made directly from the ore, to 812,917 of pig produced;
so, allowing that 28,000 tuns were made direct in 1860, the
amount, per head, of all the iron made in that year would be
65 pounds, instead of 92, as Mr. Kennedy calculates.[1] Taking
the population of the United States at 23,000,000, in 1850, and
the make of iron at 800,000 tuns, as given by the returns of
the Commission of the Iron-Masters of Pennsylvania, the amount
produced, per head, in that year, would be 78 pounds; so that
all Mr. Kennedy’s glorification goes for naught, unless we
admit that his returns for 1860 are wrong.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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