Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects — John Shaqi
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjectsProctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
Rough Ways Made Smooth: A series of familiar essays on scientific subjects
Proctor, Richard A. (Richard Anthony)
Science
nearly two years; 1793 came nearly midway between a _maximum_ and a
_minimum_; 1804-5 coincided with a _maximum_; 1815 preceded a _maximum_
by two years; 1825 followed a _minimum_ by _two_ years; 1836-39
_included_ the year 1837 of _maximum_ solar activity (that year being
the time also when a commercial crisis occurred in the United States);
1847 preceded a _maximum_ by a _year and a half_; 1866 preceded a
_minimum_ by a year; and 1878 followed a _minimum_ by a year. Four
favourable cases out of 17 can hardly be considered convincing. If we
include cases lying within two years of a _minimum_, the favourable
cases mount up to seven, leaving ten unfavourable ones. It must be
remembered, too, that a single decidedly unfavourable case (as 1804,
1815, 1837) does more to disprove such a theory than 20 favourable
cases would do towards establishing it. The American panic of 1873,
by the way, which occurred when spots were very numerous, decidedly
impairs the evidence derived from the crises of 1866 and 1878.
_NEW PLANETS NEAR THE SUN._
Perhaps no scientific achievement during the present century has been
deemed more marvellous than the discovery of the outermost member (so
far as is known) of the sun's family of planets. In many respects,
apart from the great difficulty of the mathematical problem involved,
the discovery appealed strongly to the imagination. A planet seventeen
hundred millions of miles from the sun had been discovered in March,
1781, by a mere accident, though the accident was not one likely to
occur to any one but an astronomer constantly studying the star-depths.
Engaged in such observation, but with no idea of enlarging the known
domain of the sun, Sir W. Herschel perceived the distant planet Uranus.
His experienced eye at once recognised the fact that the stranger
was not a fixed star. He judged it to be a comet. It was not until
several weeks had elapsed that the newly discovered body was proved
to be a planet, travelling nearly twice as far away from the sun as
Saturn, the remotest planet before known. A century only had elapsed
since the theory of gravitation had been established. Yet it was at
once perceived how greatly this theory had increased the power of the
astronomer to deal with planetary motions. Before a year had passed
more was known about the motions of Uranus than had been learned about
the motion of any of the old planets during the two thousand years
preceding the time of Copernicus. It was possible to calculate in
advance the position of the newly discovered planet, to calculate
retrogressively the path along which it had been travelling, unseen
and unsuspected, during the century preceding its discovery. And now
observations which many might have judged to be of little value, came
in most usefully. Astronomers since the discovery of the telescope had
formed catalogues of the places of many hundreds of stars invisible to
the naked eye. Search among the observations by which such catalogues
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