The Earth's BeginningBall, Robert S. (Robert Stawell)
Science
The Earth's Beginning
Ball, Robert S. (Robert Stawell)
Krakatoa (Indonesia); Nebular hypothesis
But Ceres was only the earliest of many other similar discoveries. And
as each asteroid was successively brought to light, it became most
interesting to test whether it followed the rest of the planets in that
wonderful unanimity in the direction of their movements of revolution,
or whether it made a new departure by going in the opposite direction.
No such exception has ever yet been observed. Let us take, then, ten
more planets, in addition to those we have already considered, so that
we have now nineteen planets all revolving in the same direction as the
sun rotates. It is easy to compute the improbability that these twenty
movements should all be in the same direction, if, indeed, it were by
chance that their directions had been determined. It is the same problem
as the following: What is the chance that twenty coins, taken together
in the hand and tossed into the air at once, shall all alight with their
heads uppermost? We have seen that the chances against this occurrence,
if there were ten coins, is about a thousand to one. It can easily be
shown that if there were twenty coins the chances against the occurrence
would be a million to one. We thus see that, even with no more than
nineteen planets and the sun, there is a million to one against a
unanimity in the directions of the movements, if the determination of
the motions was made by chance. We may, however, express the result in a
different manner, which is more to the purpose of our argument. There
are a million chances to one in favour of the supposition that the
disposition of the movements of the planets has not been the result of
chance; or we may say that there are a million chances to one in favour
of the supposition that some physical agent has caused the unanimity.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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