The Forgotten Man, and Other EssaysSumner, William Graham
Science
The Forgotten Man, and Other Essays
Sumner, William Graham
Economics; Social sciences
Some writers have satisfied themselves with general opinions--guesses,
I am obliged to call them--that if the fluctuations were kept within
certain limits the concurrent circulation would stand. They probably
rely on an element analogous to friction which unquestionably acts
in economy and finance. This element consists of habit, prejudice,
passion, dislike of trouble. It acts with great force in retail
trade, and in individual cases, and in small transactions. Its force
diminishes as we go upwards towards the largest transactions, where
the smallest percentages give very appreciable sums. It seems to me
that the bimetallic system reduces this friction to a minimum. If a
man has to spend a dollar he does not go to a broker to buy a trade
dollar with a greenback dollar, and save a cent or two, but if he has
both a gold dollar and a silver dollar in his pocket (and, under the
bimetallic system, the chances are that when he has two dollars he
will have one of each), it needs only the lightest shade of difference
in value to determine him which to give and which to hold. A bank of
issue, holding equal amounts of the two metals with which to redeem its
notes, would find an appreciable profit in giving one and holding the
other, and it would require nothing but a word of command to the proper
officer, involving no risk at all. Hence I say this friction would be
reduced to its minimum under the bimetallic system. It is astonishing
what light margins of profit suffice to produce financial movements
nowadays; and the tendency is to make the movements turn on smaller and
smaller margins. Five in the thousand above par carries gold out of
this country. Four in the thousand carries it from England to France.
When the French suspended specie payments a depreciation of two in the
thousand on the paper sufficed to throw gold out of circulation. A
variation in the ratio of metals from 15.5:1 to 15.6:1 is a variation
of six and one-half in the thousand. I do not see how small a variation
must be in order to justify any one in saying that a bimetallic
circulation could exist in spite of it. Therefore it seems to me that
the more accurately the bimetallic system was established the more
delicate and more easily overthrown it would be, while if it was not
accurately established it would not come about at all. I submit that
such a result is one of the notes of an absurdity in any science.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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