Without adopting Lincoln's prediction, we need only look forward to a
time when the country may contain one hundred and fifty million
people. Even then, the density of its population will be much less
than that of older countries or of some States of the Union. If the
population of the State of New York failed to hold its present
relation, and fell off until it numbered but eight per cent. or about
one-twelfth of the population of the Union, it would still contain
more than twelve millions of people, of which a population surpassing
one-half might be found in or near these two cities. As the two cities
grow, apparently an increasing proportion of that growth must come to
Brooklyn. The mere question of area goes far to determine such a
result. Each mile of departure from the New York City Hall emphasizes
the inequality in the quantity of residence area lying respectively
upon Manhattan Island and within our limits. It is four miles from the
New York City Hall to Sixtieth street; and the capacity of the area
below that street for purposes of residence may be said to be well
nigh exhausted. The encroachments of business below that division line
seem likely to diminish its capacity to furnish homes nearly as
rapidly as improvements in building methods may augment such capacity.
Of the twenty-four Assembly Districts in the City of New York,
nineteen--to wit, one to eighteen inclusive, and the twentieth--lie
wholly below Fifty-ninth street. In these nineteen districts the
increase of registration in 1888 over that of 1884 is 13,641. The
remaining five districts lie almost wholly above Fifty-ninth street;
and in them the increase is 32,110. Apparently more than seventy per
cent. of the growth of New York during the past four years has been
north of Fifty-ninth street. Not only must this comparatively fixed
condition of New York below Fifty-ninth street remain or become more
and more marked, but the line of division between the growing and the
fixed parts of the city must rapidly shift from Fifty-ninth street to
One Hundred and Tenth street. For of the area between Fifty-ninth
street and One Hundred and Tenth street a substantial part is devoted
to Central Park, and is unavailable for residences. Furthermore, the
presence of Central Park causes land east and west of it to be much
sought after, and to command high prices. That part of New York,
therefore, which lies between Fifty-ninth street and One Hundred and
Tenth street is to be largely taken by people whose means are
abundant, and of the space not already occupied, but a small part will
be left for the sort of population from which Brooklyn draws its chief
and characteristic growth.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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