The main hope for greater savings in the future is that the solution of
some of the mysteries of the hurricane will enable the forecasters to
send out accurate warnings much farther in advance. In such an event, it
will be possible to protect certain kinds of property and crops which
are being destroyed at present. Heavy equipment can be moved and certain
crops can be harvested in season, if plenty of time is available. These
precautions are time-consuming and costly, and the advance warnings must
be accurate in detail. And it will help to make sure that no hurricane
different from its predecessors will come suddenly and catch us off
guard and cause excessive loss of life. Now and then we have one which
is called a “freak.”
One thing we have become increasingly sure of and it will stand
repetition. No two hurricanes or typhoons are alike. Scientists may find
some weather element that seems to be necessary to keep the monster
going, and then are frustrated to find that not all tropical storms have
it. If some can do without it, maybe it is not necessary, after all. And
yet all of them fit a certain direful pattern; there is nothing else
that resembles these big storms of the tropics. Like the explosion of an
atom bomb, with its enormous cloud recognized by everyone who sees a
picture of it, the hurricane has well-known features—unlike anything
else—but of such enormous extent that no one can get a bird’s-eye view
of the whole. Putting together what we know by radar, upper air
soundings, aircraft penetrations and millions of weather observations in
the low levels, we can draw a sketchy word picture. Looking down from
space, we could see it as a giant octopus with a clear eye in the center
of its body, arms spiraling around and into this body of violent winds
around the eye—all of the monster outlined by the clouds which thrive as
it feeds on heat and moisture. We feel sure of that much.
The birth of the THING has not been explained. There are plenty of times
when all the ingredients are there. Nothing happens. Observation and
theory flourish and swell into confusion. No scientist can say,
“Everything is just right; tomorrow there will be a hurricane.”
Why it moves as it does is another grim puzzle. Ordinarily, the great
storm marches along with the air stream in which it is embedded,
changing its path with the contours of the vast pressure areas which
outline the circulation of the atmosphere, but too often it suddenly
changes its mind, or whatever controls it, or shifts gears, and comes to
a halt, or describes a loop or a hairpin turn. Nobody can see these
queer movements ahead of time. Going out there in an airplane to look
the situation over does not help in this respect. It is a vital aid in
keeping track of the THING and protecting life and property, but it ends
there.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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