It is, of course, impossible for a layman to decide arbitrarily in
favor of the lock or sea-level type. The only reasonable way to arrive
at a conclusion is to examine carefully the arguments of both factions
and reach a decision therefrom. The writer has found it difficult,
if not impossible, to obtain an accurate presentation of the facts.
Engineers high in their profession make contradictory statements.
Presumably they honestly express their convictions but their failure to
agree is strong evidence that there is a large element of uncertainty
in the whole proposition. If they, acknowledged authorities, not only
cannot arrive at a common decision in this matter, but consider it
necessary to ridicule each other’s plans, there is certainly cause to
doubt the wisdom of the present project. It is the intention of the
writer to state the principal arguments both for and against the two
types of canals as presented by their most ardent advocates.
It is generally conceded that a lock canal at Panama would cost
less than an efficient sea-level canal. Engineers on the Isthmus
make an estimate of over $100,000,000 as the minimum excess of cost
of a sea-level canal over the lock canal for construction alone.
This estimate does not include the cost of carrying on the work of
government and sanitation during the additional years which would be
required to build a sea-level canal. Furthermore, it is true that
there are many problems in connection with a sea-level canal, in
spite of its apparent simplicity, which have never been solved and
consequently no engineer can say how many millions would be required
for its completion. Experience has shown, however, that the same
unsolved problems were also true of the lock type. In their report to
the President and to Congress, the minority of the board of consulting
engineers pledged their professional reputations that if the lock
type of canal were adopted the aggregate cost of completing the
canal, exclusive of sanitation and zone government, would not exceed
$139,705,200. Not four years have passed since that report was made
yet $120,064,468.58 have already been appropriated and the great dams
and locks are only fairly begun. In the last session of Congress it
was proposed to increase the limit of the cost of construction of the
Panama Canal to $500,000,000. Senator Teller in a speech said, “I have
said again and again on the floor and I repeat it now--that if we get
the canal built for $500,000,000, whether a lock or a sea-level canal,
we shall do very well. In my judgment, we will never get that canal, in
either form, except at a cost of more than $500,000,000.” These figures
are sufficient evidence that the engineers who made the original
estimate were dealing with a subject too big for them.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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