The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
The man who made this play in Union Pacific was a college graduate,
and a veteran trader, with twenty years of hard-bought experience and
a good family name behind him. While his experience, together with the
advice of his broker, saved him from a heavy loss it might easily be
supposed that the former alone would have prevented him from falling
into the common error of novices. From which it may be observed that
in stock speculation, as in other pursuits, wisdom and the ability
to master one’s own impulses are sometimes late in arriving at full
maturity. Indeed a broker who for upwards of thirty years has held a
position of outstanding prominence on the floor of the New York Stock
Exchange--a man who often handles a hundred thousand shares or more in
a single day--once admitted to me that while he generally made money
for clients who entrusted him with optional orders, yet he regularly
lost more than half his enormous commissions trading on his own
account. Which calls to mind a wise saying of the old Greek philosopher
Heraclitus, five hundred years B.C.--“Many men have no wisdom regarding
those things with which they come in contact; nor do they learn by
experience.”
The man who made the splurge in Lake Copper was a daring young
Lochinvar who came out of the West, with only a moderate sum of money,
but an ample store of ambition; and although enjoying a large practice
in an honorable profession, he occasionally took what he called a
“flyer” in the market. For some years he was kept pretty busy clearing
up the results of his miscalculations in this adventure, which I
imagine was his last “flyer.” I have remarked that “experience” might
reasonably have been counted upon to safeguard the man in the Union
Pacific deal against the error of over-acquisitiveness; and seeing it
did not, it would seem that the very _in_experience of our other trader
should have made him less daring. From which we may conclude that in
stock trading, all speculators, whether experienced or inexperienced,
are subject to those inscrutable laws of psychology which Nature
herself seems to have designed for the discomfiture of those who play
at the wheel of Fortune.
THEY ALL RESOLVE, BUT THEY ALL GO BACK
One often hears the stock trader’s sad lament,--“If I ever get even,
I’ll get out and _stay_ out!” But I never knew one of this class who
ever got “out even” and I never heard of one who stayed out if he did
get out even. If they get out, leaving a dollar in, they go back after
it; if they get out a few dollars ahead, they go back for more; in
any case they all go back. They wouldn’t be content to stay out of
the market any more than a little shorn lamb would be content to stand
overnight uncomplainingly in a blustering March storm, outside the open
gateway to a sheepfold where his brother lambs were snugly housed.
[Illustration]
A NEW KNIGHT-ERRANT IN SPECULATION
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
Reviews
Reviews
No reviews yet
Be the first to share your thoughts on this work.
Join the Discussion
Join the discussion
Sign in to leave a comment or review.
Sign InorCreate an account