The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
And still, hundreds of thousands of people continue to play at gambling
tables, and hundreds of thousands speculate in stocks. There are many
persons who gamble moderately all their lives, just as some drink
moderately all their lives, with no resultant harm; while with others
both of these inhibited practices become fixed and ruinous vices. Since
trading in stocks has the appearance of being an easy way of making
money, it is one of the most alluring pursuits of modern times; and
from this very fact, although legalized for all, it is susceptible
of becoming one of the most dangerous habits known. It is dangerous
for the confirmed addict not only because he is apt to lose, but for
the reason that it distracts his attention from business in daytime
and frequently destroys his rest at night. But as it would be folly to
advise people not to embark in commercial pursuits because statistics
show that upwards of ninety per cent. of business ventures result in
failure, so it would be useless to caution people not to trade in
stocks because it is a hazardous undertaking in which a peculiar sort
of sagacity and self-control are the only safeguards against certain
disaster.
Most people of sturdy mentality are unwilling to admit that they could
be made easy subjects of hypnotic influences, and would scout the idea
that mere business transactions in securities could effect any undue
subversion of their equipoise. The average human mind is, however,
incapable of maintaining its equilibrium under the strain of great
excitement; and no amount of knowledge, either inherent or acquired,
no amount of experience, however dearly bought, will enable one
always to think intelligently or act wisely under highly nerve-racking
conditions. It is said that persons who become disoriented in a forest
will almost invariably go in the wrong direction (I have done so myself
on two different occasions); and that in an effort to salvage goods
from a burning house they will throw mirrors and other fragile articles
out a third-story window and carry pillows downstairs.
THE DISCONCERTING EFFECT OF SUDDEN LOSSES AND GAINS
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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