Without the Bulls and Bears, life in the Stock Exchange would be a dull
affair, for the anxiety that stocks and shares should rise and fall
within a short period, before too many rates have been paid, naturally
leads to excitement, and undoubtedly causes the promulgation of many
rumours and the exaggeration of actual news. The very existence of a big
Bull account, or of a big Bear account, naturally has a most important
effect upon the market--the former in weakening it, and the latter in
strengthening it. Every Bull is, of course, a potential seller, and
every Bear a potential buyer. While the Bulls are buying prices may
rise, and while the Bears are selling they may fall; but the time comes
when their operations, however successful, have to be completed, and the
movement in the opposite direction naturally sets in. Good news is
frequently followed by a sharp relapse in prices, because of the selling
by Bulls anxious to take advantage of it. Bad news is frequently without
effect, or followed by a rise, because the Bears see their opportunity
of buying back the stock they have sold, and thus support the market.
Thus it comes that the rates at the settlement are eagerly watched, that
some indication may be obtained as to whether a Bull account or a Bear
account exists.
The Bulls may have it all their own way, and by concerted action, called
a "Bull campaign," by the dissemination of stories favourably affecting
the stock--true, half-true, or untrue--may bring about a "rig." This,
however, is a condition of the market the artificiality of which becomes
very evident when the time for selling sets in. Unless the delicate
position is managed with extreme skill, there will be left after the
unloading a residue of Stale Bulls--Bulls who are compelled to close
their accounts at a loss. On the other hand, the Bears may have it all
their own way. By concerted action they may "bang the market," indulge
in a "Bear raid," and bring prices down to a level much lower than is
warranted by the intrinsic merits of the security which they have
attacked. The talk is all gloom. At the end of the raid, however, the
position of the Bear is an exceedingly dangerous one; he may find it
impossible to obtain the stock which, having sold, he has undertaken to
deliver. Prices begin to rise again, and the "Bear covering," or buying
back, only enhances the upward movement. In time it may become
impossible to buy back at any price; there is no stock obtainable; the
Bears are "cornered." Unless a Bear so situated can make terms with the
one to whom he has sold the stock, or with someone who will let him have
it, he stands in the position of one who cannot meet his engagements,
or, to use another term of Stock Exchange zoology, applied to all
members struggling against imminent difficulties, he is a Lame Duck.
CHAPTER IX
OPTION DEALING
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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