The Stock Exchange from WithinVan Antwerp, William C. (William Clarkson)
History
The Stock Exchange from Within
Van Antwerp, William C. (William Clarkson)
New York Stock Exchange; Stock exchanges
The holder of securities listed on the Stock Exchange is quite
differently situated. He is altogether independent. He knows the price
of his holdings every hour of the day. He is exposed to no fraud, and
at the mercy of no rumor and no unscrupulous dealer. He has positive
assurance that in case of necessity, at a moment’s notice, he can
obtain at the prevailing price the value in cash of every Stock
Exchange security in his box. The ticker gives him instantaneous
quotations. All the newspapers publish authorized prices for his
benefit, and, as we have just seen, these quotations are not a one-man
affair, but the combined judgment of thousands of experts, bulls and
bears, bankers and brokers, speculators and investors, all over the
world, bidding and offering against each other by cable and telegraph
and recording the epitomized result of their bidding in the prices
current on the Stock Exchange. Such a man knows, moreover, that the
price thus established is not merely the opinion of all these minds
as to values to-day, but that it represents a critical look into the
future. He knows, indeed, that financiers everywhere have in mind
prospective values rather than present values, and so he acquires a
double advantage in regulating his own action by the light of the
superior knowledge thus freely given him. The importance of this
“advance information” cannot be overestimated, and furnishes us with
another reason why Stock Exchanges exist.
In 1906, for example, business conditions in this country were the best
ever known. Good crops, big earnings, and general optimism prevailed.
But Stock Exchange securities did not advance in the last half of the
year, because trained financiers began to foresee the first signs of
trouble ahead. In the early months of 1907 this knowledge became more
general, and a severe decline took place, notwithstanding the fact
that the business of the country at large continued to be excellent.
“What is the matter with Wall Street?” was the question in the press
and on the lips of the uninformed, but Wall Street, or rather the
Stock Exchange, was merely fulfilling its function as a barometer and
foretelling the coming storm.
At the height of the autumn panic, on the other hand, when the
press was filled with dire forebodings and the ignorant layman was
frightened out of his wits, securities stopped declining and began to
rise because the Stock Exchange mind saw that the worst was over. The
brightest financial students in the world then began another process
of discounting the future; the barometer plainly foretold the end of
the disturbance. And all this information--a fundamental law of price
movements which indicated clearly when the trouble was coming and when
it had ended--was given gratis to the world in the daily published
quotations of Stock Exchange securities.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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