The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
If there be any difference in the character of the “turn” as compared
with former times, it must be allowed that there is a point in favour
of the speculator: whether it be more apparent than real, owing to the
growth of other adverse influences is another matter. But it is certain
that the “turn” is not so great in these times as it used to be, and it
comes from the increase of competition by the larger number of jobbers
in the markets, just as commissions in all businesses have dwindled
down from two and three per cent., and in some cases much more, to
¼ and ½, and in the Stock markets to ⅟₁₆ and even a ⅟₃₂. It should,
however, be remarked that, owing to the great increase in the number
of transactions, the jobber makes more in these times by the smaller
“turns” than he did formerly out of the large ones, the increase being
in a greater ratio than the diminution in the amount of the single
“turn.” Moreover the public, as it is to be hoped should be the case
with the growth of intelligence and the spread of education and wealth,
decline to buy stocks when very wide prices are quoted to them from the
jobbers. It stands to reason that the jobbers rather enjoy dealing in
stocks where there is a good deal of cover for them to play with their
prey. A difference of two or three per cent. between the buying and
selling price affords the jobber much more scope in fixing the “turn”
he is to get out of a transaction. The wide quotations between a buying
and selling price are no doubt to some extent a legitimately justifiable
defence against the sudden and perhaps violent fluctuations to which an
indifferent security is exposed, and it is on this account the price is
made wide. As the public, however, get to know and understand that a
stock which is quoted say 35 to 38, as compared with one that is quoted
85 ⁵⁄₁₆ to ⁷⁄₁₆ is in proportion to the difference between the extremes
of the two figures, a worse security, so they instinctively avoid any
operations at all where there is no knowing from one moment to the other
whether their property is worth one per cent. more or less. In fact many
young operators have been electrified to find that, having purchased on
speculation some stock of the character of that quoted above at 35 to
38, and wishing to get out of the bargain, for some reason or other,
there was a difference between the buying and the selling price of
actually as much as that indicated, viz.: 3 per cent. Ruinous mistakes by
the unwary are thus made. They fancy very naturally that a stock which
is subject to violent fluctuations, and which is seen to fall and rise
two or three per cent. in a day, is a fine field to operate in; but the
compensation which is in all things, soon reveals itself here in the
manner described, so that the speculator stands perhaps even less chance
of making a profit off a widely fluctuating security than he would by one
that moved to a smaller extent over or under a central point of value
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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