A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. II
John Stuart Mill · en
To overlook this grand distinction was, as it seems to me, the capital
error in Bacon's view of inductive philosophy. The principle of
elimination, that great logical instrument which he had the immense
merit of first bringing into general use, he deemed applicable in the
same sense, and in as unqualified a manner, to the investigation of the
coexistences, as to that of the successions of phenomena. He seems to
have thought that as every event has a cause, or invariable antecedent,
so every property of an object has an invariable coexistent, which he
called its Form: and the examples he chiefly selected for the
application and illustration of his method, were inquiries into such
Forms; attempts to determine in what else all those objects resembled,
which agreed in some one general property, as hardness or softness,
dryness or moistness, heat or coldness. Such inquiries could lead to no
result. The objects seldom have any such circumstances in common. They
usually agree in the one point inquired into, and in nothing else. A
great proportion of the properties which, so far as we can conjecture,
are the likeliest to be really ultimate, would seem to be inherently
properties of many different Kinds of things, not allied in any other
respect. And as for the properties which, being effects of causes, we
are able to give some account of, they have generally nothing to do with
the ultimate resemblances or diversities in the objects themselves, but
depend on some outward circumstances, under the influence of which any
objects whatever are capable of manifesting those properties; as is
emphatically the case with those favourite subjects of Bacon's
scientific inquiries, hotness and coldness; as well as with hardness and
softness, solidity and fluidity, and many other conspicuous qualities.
In the absence, then, of any universal law of coexistence, similar to
the universal law of causation which regulates sequence, we are thrown
back upon the unscientific induction of the ancients, _per enumerationem
simplicem, ubi non reperitur instantia contradictoria_. The reason we
have for believing that all crows are black, is simply that we have seen
and heard of many black crows, and never one of any other colour. It
remains to be considered how far this evidence can reach, and how we are
to measure its strength in any given case.