A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. II — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
A System of Logic: Ratiocinative and Inductive, 7th Edition, Vol. II
John Stuart Mill · en
Universal propositions, therefore, respecting the properties of superior
Kinds, unless grounded on proved or presumed connexion by causation,
ought not to be hazarded except after separately examining every known
sub-kind included in the larger Kind. And even then such generalizations
must be held in readiness to be given up on the occurrence of some new
anomaly, which, when the uniformity is not derived from causation, can
never, even in the case of the most general of these empirical laws, be
considered very improbable. Thus all the universal propositions which it
has been attempted to lay down respecting simple substances, or
concerning any of the classes which have been formed among simple
substances, (and the attempt has been often made,) have, with the
progress of experience, either faded into inanity, or been proved to be
erroneous; and each Kind of simple substance remains with its own
collection of properties apart from the rest, saving a certain
parallelism with a few other Kinds, the most similar to itself. In
organized beings, indeed, there are abundance of propositions
ascertained to be universally true of superior genera, to many of which
the discovery hereafter of any exceptions must be regarded as extremely
improbable. But these, as already observed, are, we have every reason to
believe, properties dependent on causation.
Uniformities of coexistence, then, not only when they are consequences
of laws of succession, but also when they are ultimate truths, must be
ranked, for the purpose of logic, among empirical laws; and are amenable
in every respect to the same rules with those unresolved uniformities
which are known to be dependent on causation.
CHAPTER XXIII.
OF APPROXIMATE GENERALIZATIONS, AND PROBABLE EVIDENCE.
§ 1. In our inquiries into the nature of the inductive process, we must
not confine our notice to such generalizations from experience as
profess to be universally true. There is a class of inductive truths
avowedly not universal; in which it is not pretended that the predicate
is always true of the subject; but the value of which, as
generalizations, is nevertheless extremely great. An important portion
of the field of inductive knowledge does not consist of universal
truths, but of approximations to such truths; and when a conclusion is
said to rest on probable evidence, the premises it is drawn from are
usually generalizations of this sort.
As every certain inference respecting a particular case, implies that
there is ground for a general proposition, of the form, Every A is B; so
does every probable inference suppose that there is ground for a
proposition of the form, Most A are B: and the degree of probability of
the inference in an average case, will depend on the proportion between
the number of instances existing in nature which accord with the
generalization, and the number of those which conflict with it.