The Geneva Protocol — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
The Geneva Protocol
John Stuart Mill · en
I am aware that the framers of the Protocol are not in accord with
these views. In their opinion, the presumptions of Article 10
establish "an automatic procedure which would not necessarily be based
on a decision of the Council." They say that where a presumption has
arisen and is not unanimously rejected by the Council, "the facts
themselves decide who is an aggressor" and otherwise that "the Council
has to declare the fact of aggression."
I can only say that their conclusions, while perhaps admissible as a
mere matter of language and nothing but language, take no account of
the inevitable certainty that there will always be at least two views
of what the facts are; to put it from a legalistic viewpoint, tribunals
do not deal with facts; they deal with what lawyers call facts, but
which are merely conclusions based on such evidence as is available.
This sort of a "fact" is arrived at only after a hearing or a trial of
some kind; and to suppose that the Council could ever conduct such a
hearing, and at the same time come to a unanimous and immediate
conclusion is to suppose a contradiction in terms.[12]
So while from the language of Article 10 of the Protocol difficulty may
arise in determining an aggressor under its provisions (for there might
in any case be a disputed or doubtful question of fact; and the Council
under the provisions of the Covenant would in general have to act
unanimously) the Protocol provides a solution of any such difficulty by
saying that if the Council does not immediately determine the
aggressor, it _must_ {62} (the language is mandatory) proceed to enjoin
an armistice, to fix its terms and to supervise its execution, acting
for these purposes by two-thirds majority. Then the Protocol provides
that any belligerent which refuses the armistice or violates it shall
be the aggressor.
These provisions regarding an armistice seem to me to meet any possible
objection that might be raised to the absence of a more complete and
detailed system of determining in fact and in law what State is an
aggressor.
No matter what the presumptions were or even what procedure was laid
down, it is clear that, after hostilities in any given case had
actually commenced, there would be enormous difficulty for any tribunal
whatever in laying down conclusively which State was the aggressor.
After all, the vital thing is to prevent war; and the opening of
hostilities, to be immediately followed by an armistice, would not be
very much of a war. So I regard these provisions as to an armistice as
the most ingenious [Transcriber's note: ingenuous?] and, except its
statements of principle, the most important of all the provisions of
Article 10 of the Protocol.