The Outlook: Uncle Sam's Place and Prospects in International Politics — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
The Outlook: Uncle Sam's Place and Prospects in International Politics
John Stuart Mill · en
The story of their success is one of the romances of industry and trade.
In the face of a natural hostility aroused by our own tariffs, and
compelled to pay for a higher standard of living, our manufacturers have
gone into the markets of the world and undersold their European
competitors at every point. Carrying coals to Newcastle were child's
play in comparison with what these modern captains of industry have
accomplished. The story is told in the statistics of our export trade:
In 1898 the balance of trade in our favor was $2,000,000 for every
working day, or more than $600,000,000. For the first time since the War
of the Rebellion, the interest on our securities held in England is not
enough to pay for our exports, and the extinction of our floating debt
abroad is clearly foreshadowed.
But how long is this to continue? With our experience of tariffs we need
not be reminded that low prices do not command markets. Continental
Europe does not like us. We saw that during the Spanish war, and we have
heard it since in various impatient declarations of hostility, at Berlin
or Vienna, far more significant than official assurances of
distinguished consideration. Indeed, if Germany, or France, or Russia
does not openly break with us, it is because fear or prudence is
stronger than inclination. The moment any one or all of them combined
feels able to slam the door in our face without fear of reprisals, the
door will be slammed.
Germany and more especially Russia are straining every nerve to
establish in China "spheres of influence," which is the polite phrase of
diplomacy for cutting up the Celestial Empire and dividing the pieces
among the powers. England, on the other hand, favors maintaining the
integrity of China and the "open door" of commerce to all comers. It may
be that England's preference is due to the reasonable fear that at the
"spheres-of-influence" game she may be (if she be not already) beaten by
her continental neighbors; whereas with an "open door" her chances would
be as good, if not better than the others. If so, England is as
disinterested as her neighbors--and no more so. Each and all are after
China. "China for trade!" is the slogan. Even the pretense of missionary
design has been dropped, so desperate is the struggle; for China, with
her four hundred and thirty millions of people, is the sole remaining
market of the world. If Germany and Russia get it, they will shut out
England, and the United States as well. Can they do it?