Comet Lore: Halley's Comet in History and AstronomyEmerson, Edwin
History
Comet Lore: Halley's Comet in History and Astronomy
Emerson, Edwin
Comets; Halley's comet
Since Lalande’s day there has been more than one Comet “scare.” One of
these startled Europe in 1832. On October 29th of that year, Biela’s
Comet crossed the Earth’s orbit. The announcement was received with
stupefaction. It was only when Arago soothingly pointed out that the
Earth would not reach the exact point where the Comet had intersected
the Earth’s orbit until November 30, at which time the Comet would be
50,000,000 miles away, that the popular excitement subsided. A similar
alarm seized the world in 1857. Some prophet declared that on June 13
the world would collide with a certain periodic Comet having a period
of revolution of three centuries. It is related that the churches
and confessionals were crowded for days. Still another prediction,
made in 1872 by Plantamour, the distinguished director of the Geneva
Observatory, set Europe in a ferment. His calculations were based on
errors, which were pointed out by other astronomers, and the public
mind was quieted.
Although more than two centuries have passed since Halley was in his
prime, the possibility of a collision with some vagabond star still
haunts the mind of the astronomer.
That a collision is apt to occur is an admitted astronomic fact. The
latest estimate, made in 1909 by Prof. William H. Pickering of Harvard
University, would seem to prove that the core of one Comet in about
100,000,000 Comets will hit the earth squarely. An encounter with some
part of a Comet’s head will happen once in 4,000,000 years. Since
Comets’ orbit are more thickly distributed near the ecliptic than else
where in the celestial sphere, the collisions will occur according to
Pickering, perhaps more frequently than this.
Because Pickering’s figures differ from those other astronomers—Arago
and Babinet, for instance—it must not be inferred that his
predecessors are wrong and that he is right in his calculations. The
problem is too complex for that. Pickering, Arago and Babinet differ
partly because they have assumed different average sizes for their
Comets, and partly because their definitions of visible Comets are not
in accord.
That the possibility is very real, we shall all have an opportunity of
judging on May 18, 1910. On that date the Earth will be plunged in the
tail of Halley’s Comet, and the head will be less than 15,000,000 miles
away—a mere hand’s breadth in the vastness of the universe.
What will happen?
Nobody knows for certain.
By means of the wonderful instrument called the spectroscope, an
instrument which analyzes a distant star as readily as if it were a
stone picked up in the road, it has been discovered that a Comet’s tail
is composed of gases called “hydrocarbons” (combinations of hydrogen
and carbon), and that it bears a close chemical resemblance to the blue
flame of a kitchen gas-stove.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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