Daedalus : $b or, Science and the futureHaldane, J. B. S. (John Burdon Sanderson)
Philosophy
Daedalus : $b or, Science and the future
Haldane, J. B. S. (John Burdon Sanderson)
Biology; Science
A time will however come (as I believe) when physiology will invade
and destroy mathematical physics, as the latter have destroyed
geometry. The basic metaphysical working hypothesis of science and
practical life will then, I think, be something like Bergsonian
activism. I do not for one moment suggest that this or any other
metaphysical system has any claims whatever to finality.
Meanwhile we are in for a few centuries during which many practical
activities will probably be conducted on a basis, not of materialism,
but of Kantian idealism. How will this affect our manners, morals and
politics? Frankly I do not know, though I think the effect will be as
great as that of Newton’s work, which created most of the intellectual
forces of the 18th century. The Condorcets, Benthams, and Marxs of
the future will I think be as ruthlessly critical of the metaphysics
and ethics of their times as were their predecessors, but not quite
so sure of their own; they will lack a certain heaviness of touch
which we may note in Utilitarianism and Socialism. They will recognise
that perhaps in ethics as in physics, there are so to speak fourth
and fifth dimensions that show themselves by effects which, like
the perturbations of the planet Mercury, are hard to detect even in
one generation, but yet perhaps in the course of ages are quite as
important as the three-dimensional phenomena.
If the quantum hypothesis is generally adopted even more radical
alterations in our thinking will be necessary. But I feel it premature
even to suggest their direction in the present unsatisfactory state
of quantum mechanics. It may be that as Poincare (the other Poincare)
suggested we shall be forced to conceive of all change as occurring in
a series of clicks, and all space as consisting of discrete points.
However this may be it is safe to say that a better knowledge of
the properties of radiation will permit us to produce it in a more
satisfactory manner than is at present possible. Almost all our
present sources of light are hot bodies, 95% of whose radiation is
invisible. To light a lamp as a source of light is about as wasteful
of energy as to burn down one’s house to roast one’s pork. It is a
fairly safe prophecy that in 50 years light will cost about a fiftieth
of its present price, and there will be no more night in our cities.
The alternation of day and night is a check on the freedom of human
activity which must go the way of other spatial and temporal checks. In
the long run I think that all that applied physics can do for us is to
abolish these checks. It enables us to possess more, travel more, and
communicate more. I shall not attempt to predict in detail the future
developments of transport and communication. They are only limited by
the velocity of light. We are working towards a condition when any two
persons on earth will be able to be completely present to one another
in not more than 1-24 of a second. We shall never reach it, but that is
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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