The conclusion is offered, therefore, that not only can poor methods
and imperfect understanding result in losses far in excess of a
demonstrated drawback, but that this drawback may be overcome by
other and more correct methods. It is difficult to understand why
the opponents of speculation are continually harping on these points
of gambling and percentage as bearing particularly on operations in
stocks or commodities. If a man buys a certain security because it is
cheap, or because he considers it cheap, and pays a certain commission
to a broker for effecting the transaction, he is no more playing a
percentage game than if he purchases a piece of real estate because it
is cheap and pays the real estate broker a commission for his services.
Marginal trading is another abomination of the anti-speculative
element, but here again the critics do not discriminate between use and
abuse. Trading on insufficient margin is one of the greatest evils in
the speculative world and when, as is frequently the case, this evil
is combined with lack of knowledge as to values and conditions, the
result is certain loss. But what is objected to here is the hazy view
and comprehensive condemnation of _all_ marginal speculation. The line
of demarcation is usually carelessly drawn. If an individual buys 100
shares of stock for cash, has it registered in his own name and later
borrows funds from his banker with these shares as collateral, he
escapes impeachment as a marginal speculator; but if he buys on margin,
and borrows from his broker the unpaid balance, he is a gambler. And
yet it would be hard to point out the difference in the two methods.
If we wish to go a little further afield, we may reduce a very large
percentage of the commercial structure to marginal trading. We may, in
short, place in this category every merchant who buys goods on credit
and every man who buys real estate on payments, if their object when
buying is to sell at a profit.
It is highly probable that these contentions will be vigorously
attacked, on the theory that more evil than good results from
speculative ventures, and that therefore the whole structure should
be razed on a “greatest good to the greatest number” basis; but aside
from the intensely unphilosophical character of this view, it is not
at all probable that any such thing can be effected unless human
nature undergoes a radical change. Tear down every stock exchange in
the United States tomorrow, and people will be speculating, a majority
of them foolishly, in another week. The cure lies not in paternalism,
but in evolution and understanding. As has been said, more has been
accomplished in recent years by the educational crusade of the press
than by all the rantings and warnings of a century. We have our
periods of reckless over-indulgence, it is true, but the evil is
dwindling. The South Sea bubble would deceive a much smaller number of
people today than it did in the days of John Law.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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