It is the object of the present work to point out, so far as the
abilities of the writer will permit, what essentials are required in
any form of speculation, whether on margins, or masquerading in the
guise of investment. As to this last distinction, it may be stated that
the word “speculation” is herein taken to mean the purchase of any
security or commodity because it is considered cheap, with the ultimate
intention of disposing of the property so purchased at a profit. In the
writer’s opinion this definition is correct. Speculation contemplates
a rise in price, and an accretion in principal. Investment refers to
interest returns on money.
One of the most flagrant errors in speculation is an entirely mistaken
idea as to the _possibilities_ in this field. Nine men out of ten have
a deep-rooted conviction that if any individual could be right in his
main deductions for, say one or two years, he should make millions on
a small capital. This is a great mistake, and leads to numerous minor
errors which are productive of much loss in actual operations. The
business of speculation never did, and never will result in abnormal
profits. Large returns are sometimes made, it is true, but this fact
is also true of every other line of business. Certain individuals
grow very rich in Wall Street; this again is true of every commercial
branch. We hear now and then of a million dollar coup by a Morgan or a
Rockefeller, and do not stop to consider the great capital behind it.
If an individual makes five thousand dollars in a year’s speculative
ventures on a capital of twenty thousand, he is not considered a
Napoleon of finance, but he has accomplished much more, in proportion
to his capital, than Rockefeller would have accomplished if he had made
five millions on similar operations.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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