The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method — John Shaqi
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific methodJevons, William Stanley
Philosophy
The principles of science : $b a treatise on logic and scientific method
Jevons, William Stanley
Logic; Science -- Methodology
Nature is a spectacle continually exhibited to our senses, in which
phenomena are mingled in combinations of endless variety and novelty.
Wonder fixes the mind’s attention; memory stores up a record of each
distinct impression; the powers of association bring forth the record
when the like is felt again. By the higher faculties of judgment and
reasoning the mind compares the new with the old, recognises essential
identity, even when disguised by diverse circumstances, and expects to
find again what was before experienced. It must be the ground of all
reasoning and inference that *what is true of one thing will be true
of its equivalent*, and that under carefully ascertained conditions
*Nature repeats herself*.
Were this indeed a Chaotic Universe, the powers of mind employed in
science would be useless to us. Did Chance wholly take the place of
order, and did all phenomena come out of an *Infinite Lottery*, to use
Condorcet’s expression, there could be no reason to expect the like
result in like circumstances. It is possible to conceive a world in
which no two things should be associated more often, in the long run,
than any other two things. The frequent conjunction of any two events
would then be purely fortuitous, and if we expected conjunctions to
recur continually, we should be disappointed. In such a world we might
recognise the same kind of phenomenon as it appeared from time to time,
just as we might recognise a marked ball as it was occasionally drawn
and re-drawn from a ballot-box; but the approach of any phenomenon
would be in no way indicated by what had gone before, nor would it be a
sign of what was to come after. In such a world knowledge would be no
more than the memory of past coincidences, and the reasoning powers, if
they existed at all, would give no clue to the nature of the present,
and no presage of the future.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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