The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
In due time this retired merchant secured a desk in a brokerage office
and undertook to study the stock market systematically at close range,
and to reduce some of his theories to actual practice. He did not
launch into this new venture as one would plunge into a cold bath;
he patiently watched the action of the market from day to day, until
stocks declined to a point where it seemed safe to begin buying on a
scale down. Meanwhile he continued to study stock market charts and
conditions--charts with double bottoms, double tops, pyramids and all
such enlightening information--about past performances. At length he
bought a few hundred shares of selected stocks, depositing bonds as
margin--ample margin of fifty points or more. Prices reacted a little
further, and in keeping with his motto, which was--“Buy on the decline,
when the public is getting out, and sell on the rise when the public
is getting in,” he increased his holdings at every two or three points
decline. In the course of time the market faced about, stocks began
to recover, and in a few weeks he had the satisfaction of seeing his
plans work out successfully in experiment, with a net gain of enough to
cover interest on his investment for more than four years. According
to precedent a temporary reaction was due; therefore, like most wary
beginners, he sold out and cashed in his profits. In his exhaustive
study of stock market psychology he had learned that while it is the
practice of inexperienced traders to take small profits on stocks in
a rising market, it is also their custom to buy the stocks back again
at much higher figures, instead of waiting for prices to decline. This
was one of the danger pits charted on his course of action; one of the
many against which he had built up mental fortifications, strong enough
in seasons of peace and calm, but in most people easily destructible by
the baffling influences of stock market speculation.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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