The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
never buy more stocks or bonds than he could pay for, or protect with
sufficient margin to carry them through the severest depression.
He was a self-made man; he had entered his firm as errand boy, and by
sheer force of perseverance, ambition and intellect he rose steadily
in usefulness and power until he became sole proprietor of the whole
establishment. His prestige and the bulk of his fortune had been made
in buying and storing goods when the markets were glutted and prices
were low, and holding them till the markets were bare and prices were
high. After accumulating large stores it sometimes required a year or
more of patient waiting for the readjustment of trade conditions;
but never had there been a time when during a given cycle, prices had
not been abnormally low and also abnormally high. He reckoned his
twenty-five years of this sort of training as a singularly qualifying
element of success in buying and selling stocks. This undertaking,
like dealing in hides and leather, required forethought, discretion,
patience and courage. There was scarcely a two-year period in any
decade wherein stocks in general could not be bought reasonably cheap;
nor was there a similar period when at some time during the twenty-four
months they could not be sold at fairly high prices. Statistics proved
this to be almost infallibly true; statistics likewise proved that
the preponderance of failures in his own line of business could be
traced to injudicious purchases of large stores of merchandise at high
prices, with resultant inventory losses. As a merchant he had learned
that buying and selling leather and hides at a profit was a matter of
forecasting future conditions in the light of past events; and as a
student of stock market conditions he learned that a recovery of values
_always_ follows a prolonged slump in the price of stocks, and that
sure success awaits those who pick the right psychological moments to
buy and sell.
[Illustration]
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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