The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
At this time (1915) the major portion of the civilized world was
embroiled in a mad turmoil, employing every known device and resource
in destroying human life and every form of physical property. With the
very foundations of civilization thus disrupted, and our own country
on the verge of being drawn into a deadly combat in which the most
humane and enlightened nations of the earth were reverting to the
practices of ancient barbarism, it is not strange that our merchant
friend should have argued that it was a most unpromising situation upon
which to construct investment values and business prosperity. It was
inconsistent, inconceivable and seemingly impossible that stocks, even
good stocks, could continue to advance in the face of such demoralizing
conditions. When war was first declared, even before England became
involved, the stock market was thrown into such a violent state of
panic that it became necessary to close the stock exchange for several
months; yet now when the clouds of disaster were at their darkest and
hung menacingly over the whole of civilization this country alone was
indulging in a riotous exhibition of prosperity such as had never been
dreamed of. The market tipsters, the financial editors of newspapers,
the brokers’ letters and all stock market literature, with but few
exceptions, were crowing loud and boastfully for still higher prices,
and after the whole group of stocks had risen in unison for a time,
some individual stock was singled out every day or so, pushed into the
forefront and skyrocketed to dizzying heights. The brokers and all the
customers were delirious with joy and excitement. The stock brokers
were all bulls, the traders were bulls, the tipsters and rumor-mongers
were bulls--even the office boys who called the quotations from
the tickers were bulls, and shouted vociferously when some special
stock jumped a point or more from the previous quotation; and it
seemed to our trader that in calling out the advancing prices special
emphasis was always given to the particular stocks he was short of.
He was literally beset with bullish exultation and bullish news from
everywhere. The noisy enthusiasm in the board-room rankled in his ears
and rasped on his over-wrought nerves. He felt as one could imagine a
tiny lone bear would feel in the center of a great arena, surrounded by
a cordon of cavorting bulls. To him it seemed that he was the only bear
on earth. There might be others, but they were too cleverly sequestered
to admit of sharing his misery with them.
[Illustration]
NOBODY LOVES A BEAR
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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