The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions — John Shaqi
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
For example, in a bear market some years ago the stock of the
Amalgamated Copper Company was depressed several points in one day on
the report that the dividend was to be reduced. Next day the report
was denied and upon supposedly good authority it was stated that the
regular dividend had been earned and would be declared. Whereupon the
traders--who were mostly bearish--argued that a declaration of the
regular dividend would be a bear argument, because it ought to be
reduced and if the usual amount were declared it would be only for
the purpose of furnishing artificial market support to the stock;
consequently it was again depressed a dozen points or more. Later when
the trend of prices had turned upward this stock advanced sharply on
the report that the dividend was to be increased. Although the report
met with prompt denial, the stock was nevertheless bid up several
points more on the theory that if the dividend were not increased it at
least ought to be, and if only the regular declaration were made, that
would be evidence of a commendable policy of conservatism.
EVEN THE STOCK MARKET HAS ITS FARCICAL SIDE
Some of the stock market philosophies and inventions are quite amusing
to the unsophisticated onlooker. When the Amalgamated Copper Company
and the Anaconda Copper Company were under separate management a clique
of traders became interested in advancing the market price of the
latter stock, and forthwith the tipsters and rumor-mongers circulated
a report that Amalgamated was buying Anaconda for control. This device
proved a profitable asset for the pool members, who were thereby
enabled to sell out their holdings at much higher prices. When this was
accomplished and the story had become threadbare, another ingenious
story was circulated, to the effect that the Anaconda Company was now
seeking control of Amalgamated, whereupon that stock in its turn became
the favorite of traders, who succeeded in lifting the price high enough
to let the pool unload its holdings at a handsome profit. While these
two monster companies were performing the act of trying to swallow
each other the traders greatly enjoyed the comedy, in consideration of
which they contributed generously toward swelling the purses of the
promoters. The final outcome was that the great Anaconda succeeded
in devouring its competitor, which appears still to be in process of
digestion--or rather indigestion,--judging from the internal agonies
expressed in the market action of the stock.
[Illustration]
SPECULATORS ARE SLAVES OF SENTIMENT
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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