The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactionsHarper, Henry Howard
Science
The psychology of speculation : $b The human element in stock market transactions
Harper, Henry Howard
Speculation; Stock exchanges
It is a common saying, even among veteran traders, that such and such
a stock “is a good buy, but you must watch it closely.” To _watch_ a
stock after buying it is about the most foolish thing one can do. To
watch it go down is certainly no pleasure, and if it goes up it doesn’t
need watching. The time to watch it is before buying. In order to limit
one’s loss on a purchase it is a simple matter to put in an “open stop
loss” order somewhere under the cost price; and no amount of diligent
“watching” will prevent it from going down. On the other hand, to
insure one’s profit, if the price goes up, nothing more is required
than to put in a “G. T. C.” (good till cancelled), selling order at
whatever figure above the cost price the purchaser is willing to accept
as his profit.
There is probably no more popular fallacy among traders than the
one which presupposes that great “pools” and combinations formed to
manipulate certain stocks are either made up of officers and directors
of the corporations concerned, or else that such pools base their
operations upon valuable inside information from some head official.
This may be true in rare instances; but generally speaking the
directors and officers of the companies know nothing whatever of the
pool operations in their stocks, and when they do know they usually
frown on such schemes. Anyone who stops to consider knows that the
market prices of the company’s securities are of far less concern to
the officials than the matter of conducting their business operations
at a profit. If the company’s earnings are good, it is clear that this
fact will soon enough manifest itself in the demand for the securities,
without any abortive or clandestine efforts; and if the earnings are
poor, it would obviously be beneath the dignity of the officials to
deceive the public through pool operations or pool affiliations. A more
simple plan would be to utilize their “inside information” by quietly
selling the stock.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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