The Stock Exchange from WithinVan Antwerp, William C. (William Clarkson)
History
The Stock Exchange from Within
Van Antwerp, William C. (William Clarkson)
New York Stock Exchange; Stock exchanges
When there are no bears, or when their position is so slight as to be
inconsequential, declines are apt to run to extreme lengths and play
havoc with bulls. One often hears among acute and clever speculators
the expression “the bears are the market’s best friends,” and, though
this may seem incongruous, it is quite true. In the month in which
these lines are written there has occurred, for example, a really
severe break in prices on the Stock Exchanges at London, Paris, and
Berlin, arising from the periodic Balkan crisis. This decline ran to
disproportionate extremes, and, in fact, approached such demoralization
that more than 300,000 shares of American securities held abroad
were thrown on the New York market for what they would bring. The
reason for the severity of this decline was easily explained. The
outstanding speculative account at all European centres, while not
actually unwieldy, was almost entirely in the nature of commitments
for the rise. There was no bear account. Therefore all Stock Exchanges
were supersensitive since they lacked the steadying influence which
covering by the bears invariably brings about. The bears are then, in
truth the market’s best friends, and the more there are of them, the
better for all concerned when trouble comes.
Throughout all the political agitation in Germany which culminated
in that disastrous failure, the Bourse Law of 1896, there appears to
have been very little opposition to the bear and the practice of short
selling; nevertheless in that section of the law which prohibited
dealings for future delivery the bears found their activities
restricted. The law has now been amended, having proved a wretched
fiasco, but in the decade which attended its enforcement it was curious
to note the unanimous cry that went up in Germany for the restoration
of the bear. His usefulness in the stock market no less than in the
commodity market was recognized; his suppression was deplored. It was
found that just as his activities were restricted so the tendency
toward inflated advance and ultimate collapse was increased. The market
became one-sided, and hence lop-sided; quotations thus established were
unreal and fictitious. Moreover there was an incentive to dishonesty,
for unscrupulous persons could open a short account in one office and a
long account in another, and if the bear side lost they could refuse
to settle on the ground customarily resorted to by welchers.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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