The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
The number of people who play publicly at games of chance is very small
compared with the number of people who gamble in mercantile transactions.
And whereas the former are diminishing, partly from compulsion, as in
the case of Germany of late, and partly through the more enlightened
state of the human understanding as regards the immorality of this kind
of amusement, the latter appear to multiply in proportion to the general
increase of wealth, the ever enlarging fields in which public securities
are dealt in and commercial transactions are negotiated, and also in
proportion to the facilities afforded for speculation generally. The
latter part of this sentence should, however, be qualified by the remark
that the spread of wealth enables younger and less experienced persons to
engage in speculation in a larger proportion as compared with the whole
community than formerly. The difficulty of living and the ambition not
to fall below the standard maintained by the well-to-do, tempt numbers
of young men to endeavour to increase their income by speculation. And
moreover as regards Stock Exchange speculation it is unfortunately much
against the interest of the stock broker to make public the failure of
his clients, hence it is seldom that the wholesome warning of publicity
deters others from entering the arena.
Outsiders entering upon speculation with professional dealers in the
Stock markets make two mistakes on the threshold. Firstly, they commence
upon unequal terms, the effects of which adventitious favourable
influences have never more than compensated for, in the long run.
Secondly, supposing the terms were permitted to be equal, the outsiders’
stakes would be too large a proportion of their means. The losses
incurred by speculators as a body have always been upon such a scale as
to dispose of the theory advocated by some persons that the mere charges
of commission, contangoes, and the “turn” are the only obstacles to
success.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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