The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
CR.
£ _s._ _d._
5000 Turks. 5% at 50½ 2525 0 0
-----------------
2,525 0 0
-----------------
The operation so far is successful, and the speculator, taking courage
from his success, awaits a further advance. He is not disappointed, we
will suppose, and the stock continues to rise, to give him the favourable
start which is so frequently the cause of his future troubles and losses.
During the next account the stock gains a further ¼ per cent., and he
credits himself mentally with an additional £12 10_s._ Here is a gain
of £37 10_s._ minus the selling commission, which is generally charged
when the stock is not bought and sold in the same account, and also minus
the contango. This second commission, which is usually charged when a
speculative account is kept open for a month, is frequently left out of
the calculation by novices. Supposing, then, towards the close of the
second account, there occurs a relapse of ⅝ per cent., making the price
really ⅜ lower, which is a very reasonable hypothesis, as stocks do not
always move in one direction,—how does the account to be rendered at the
next settlement stand? We have—
DR.
£ _s._ _d._
5000 Turks. 5% at 50½ 2525 0 0
Int. 6% 15 days 6 4 6
Commission 6 5 0
-----------------
2,537 9 6
-----------------
To Balance £12 9 6
CR.
£ _s._ _d._
By Balance 18 15 0
5000 Turks. 5% at 50⅛ 2506 5 0
Balance 12 9 6
-----------------
2,537 9 6
-----------------
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