The Theory of Stock Exchange SpeculationCrump, Arthur
General
The Theory of Stock Exchange Speculation
Crump, Arthur
Speculation
Before the invention of the telegraph, a house of straw could paint up
its name, make a show with a few thousand pounds, and enter into very
large commitments for good or for bad, as it might turn out. Shipments
to a large extent could be made, and if all turned out well, a house
might thus, by a stroke of luck, be established to occupy, perhaps, an
eminent position. On the other hand, if the first operations resulted
in ruin, it was worth the risk, and a fresh start was made probably
somewhere else under a new title. Such instances being multiplied in
all the great commercial centres, it is easy to understand how markets
could be glutted, prices raised to a fictitious level, and all the links
forged into the chain which snaps at once, when the tension upon credit
has gone beyond a certain point. Matters however are changed in this
respect, and are changing from day to day. So small is the expense of
obtaining information, compared with the risk of signing a contract with
a house of straw, or of doubtful respectability, that the electric wire
serves accurately enough for the purpose of ascertaining the position of
a new customer who may present himself at a large establishment to do
business. A most salutary effect is thus in process of being worked out.
The great thing in commercial affairs is to keep out the weak speculative
element, and to drive them into subordinate positions to work their way
up in a legitimate manner, to become principals. The means of obtaining
information now is so considerable, that if a man signally fails, almost
the only hope for him is to change his name. In some instances this has
been done, and followed by astonishing success, although the way it was
achieved would, perhaps, hardly bear close investigation.
So far, we have referred more particularly to the altered character of
modern influences upon commercial markets, and we have done so because
the changed conditions which affect the value of one commodity in the
markets of the world more or less affect all; but, as we are specially
writing with reference to Stock markets, we only propose to touch upon
other markets in passing.
[Sidenote: THE EXTENSION OF LONG WIRE TELEGRAPHY.]
The net work of telegraphic communication, in Europe at least, is now,
in the year 1874, so far complete that, when a pressure of business is
felt by the sub-marine telegraphic companies, the complaints of delay are
not frequent. The long wires are also multiplying rapidly. The progress
that has been made in telegraphy was made known to many for the first
time by the circumstances being published, that the Shah of Persia’s
first minister at Teheran was aroused out of his sleep early one morning,
during the visit of his royal master to England, to reply to a message
which, to the minister’s astonishment, he discovered had a few minutes
previously been dispatched by Dr. Siemens, an operator who had been
expressly established for the use of the Shah in Buckingham Palace.
Public-domain text, read in full here on John Shaqi.
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