Omega: The Last days of the World — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
Omega: The Last days of the World
John Stuart Mill · en
“The dry land, if spread out in a layer of uniform thickness, would
constitute a plateau of about 700 meters altitude above the sea-level.
Admitting that its total area is 145,000,000 square kilometers, it
follows that its volume is about 101,500,000, or, in round numbers,
100,000,000 cubic kilometers. Such is the large, yet definite mass, with
which the external agencies of destruction must contend.
[Illustration:
THE RIVERS CEASE TO FLOW.
]
“Taken together, the rivers of the world may be considered as emptying,
every year, into the sea 23,000 cubic kilometers of water (in other
words, 23,000 milliards of cubic meters). This would give a volume of
solid matter carried yearly to the sea, equal to 10.43 cubic kilometers,
if we accept the established ratio of thirty-eight parts of suspended
material in 100,000 parts of water. The ratio of this amount to the
total volume of the dry land is one to 9,730,000. If the dry land were a
level plateau of 700 meters altitude, it would lose, by fluid erosion
alone, a slice of about _seven one-hundredths of a millimeter in
thickness yearly_, or one millimeter every fourteen years—say _seven
millimeters per century_.
“Here we have a definite figure, expressing the actual yearly
continental erosion, showing that, if only this erosion were to operate,
the entire mass of unsubmerged land would disappear in _less than
10,000,000 years_.
“But rain and rivers are not the only agencies; there are other factors
which contribute to the gradual destruction of the dry land:
“First, there is the erosion of the sea. It is impossible to select a
better example of this than the Britannic isles; for they are exposed,
by their situation, to the onslaught of the Atlantic, whose billows,
driven by the prevailing southwest wind, meet with no obstacle to their
progress. Now, the average recession of the English coast is certainly
less than three meters per century. Let us apply this rate to the
sea-coasts of the world, and see what will happen.
“We may proceed in two ways: First, we may estimate the loss in volume
for the entire coast-line of the world, on the basis of three
centimeters per year. To do this, we should have to know the length of
the shore-line and the mean height of the coast. The former is about
200,000 kilometers. As to the present average height of the coasts above
the sea, 100 meters would certainly be a liberal estimate. Hence, a
recession of three centimeters corresponds to an annual loss of three
cubic meters per running meter, or, for the 200,000 kilometers of
coast-line, 600,000,000 cubic meters, which is only six-tenths of a
cubic kilometer. In other words, the erosion due to the sea would only
amount to one-seventeenth that of the rivers.