Omega: The Last days of the World — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
Omega: The Last days of the World
John Stuart Mill · en
“It may perhaps be objected, that, as the altitude actually increases
from the coast-line toward the interior, the same rate of recession
would, in time, involve a greater loss in volume. Is this objection well
founded? No; for the tendency of the rain and water-courses being, as we
have said, to lower the surface-level, this action would keep pace with
that of the sea.
“Again, the area of the dry land being 145,000,000 square kilometers, a
circle of equal area would have a radius of 6800 kilometers. But the
circumference of this circle would be only 40,000 kilometers; that is to
say, the sea could exercise upon the circle but one-fifth the erosive
action which it actually does upon the indented outline of our shores.
We may, therefore, admit that the erosive action of the sea upon the dry
land is _five times greater_ than it would be upon an equivalent
circular area. Certainly this estimate is a maximum; for it is logical
to suppose that, when the narrow peninsulas have been eaten away by the
sea, the ratio of the perimeter to the surface will decrease more and
more—that is, the action of the sea will be less effective. In any
event, since, at the rate of three centimeters per year, a radius of
6800 kilometers would disappear in 226,600,000 years, one-fifth of this
interval, or about 45,000,000 years, would represent the minimum time
necessary for the destruction of the land by the sea; this would
correspond to an intensity of action scarcely more than _one-fifth_ that
of the rivers and rain.
“Taken together, these mechanical causes would, therefore, involve every
year a loss in volume of twelve cubic kilometers, which, for a total of
100,000,000, would bring about the complete submergence of the dry land
in a little more than _8,000,000 years_.
[Illustration:
THE NILE.
]
“But we are far from having exhausted our analysis of the phenomena in
question. Water is not only a mechanical agent; it is also a powerful
dissolvent, far more powerful than we might suppose, because of the
large amount of carbonic acid which it absorbs either from the
atmosphere or from the decomposed organic matter of the soil. All
subterranean waters become charged with substances which it has thus
chemically abstracted from the minerals of the rocks through which it
percolates.
“River water contains, per cubic kilometer, about 182 tons of matter in
solution. The rivers of the world bring yearly to the sea, nearly _five
cubic kilometers_ of such matter. The annual loss to the dry land,
therefore, from these various causes, is _seventeen_ instead of twelve
cubic kilometers; so that the total of 100,000,000 would disappear, not
in eight, but in _a little less than six million years_.
“This figure must be still further modified. For we must not forget that
the sediment thus brought to the sea and displacing a certain amount of
water, will cause a rise of the sea-level, accelerating by just so much
the levelling process due to the wearing away of the continents.