The Geneva Protocol — John Stuart Mill — John Shaqi
The Geneva Protocol
John Stuart Mill · en
Let me give an instance as a concrete supposition. Take the
Bulgarian-Greek frontier and suppose, as I do, that it ought to be
changed, and suppose further, as the advocates of war assert, that it
should be changed by war between Bulgaria and Greece; one of two things
would happen in all human probability. Either Greece would be the
victor and then not only would the boundary be as unjust to Bulgaria as
it is now, but much more so. Or else Bulgaria would be the victor, in
which case the injustice would simply be reversed; the frontier would
not move to any {35} theoretical point of justice, but would move to
the point dictated by the new Peace treaty.
In other words, war is not like a litigation which ends in the
settlement of a particular dispute. Any war, in its settlement, goes
far beyond the dispute which brought it about; every war opens up every
possible ambition and desire of the victor.[6] Did the World War end
merely in deciding the question about the rights of Austria and Serbia
in connection with the murder of the Archduke? Where was the fate of
the German colonies decided--in East Africa and in the Pacific, or on
the Western Front?
This whole question is of vital importance in connection with the
Protocol of Geneva. If that Protocol comes into force and is accepted
by Germany, by Austria, by Hungary and by Bulgaria, it will have this
effect at least; it will change what I may call the status of the
_status quo_ in regard to these countries to this extent, that in lieu
of that _status quo_ being one imposed by force, it will have become
one agreed to, at least to the point that it is agreed that the _status
quo_ may not be changed by war but only by agreement.[7] As a
practical example, it will mean, as we now see, that the German effort
to regain some of her lost colonies under the mandate system, will
again be an effort of negotiation[8] and not an effort of force.
All that the Covenant or the Protocol of Geneva attempts to do about
the _status quo_ is to say that frontiers shall not be changed _as a
result of aggression_. Indeed, the Protocol[9] protects even an
aggressor against loss of territory or of independence as a penalty for
its aggression; discussion, leading up perhaps to peaceful agreement
but to nothing else, is permitted by Articles 11 and 19 of the
Covenant, but that is all.
{36}
My view is that these provisions are sound and that they should not be
extended.
In saying, as I did, that the possibility of change in the _status quo_
is along only two lines, the line of agreement and the line of war, I
did not lose sight of the proposals made in various forms that there
should be some method under the League of Nations or otherwise by which
a tribunal of some sort would be empowered to make such changes from
time to time. Most of these proposals envisage plebiscites in one form
or another.